Accelerate Diagnostics (AXDX)

White Diamond Research · 2019-09
arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 3 LOOPS
SETUP TENSION ANALYSIS EVIDENCE RESOLUTION APPENDIX
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Slide inventory

41
every slide · same image gating as the playbook
01
Slide 1
This is a short-seller research note cover page.frame_problem
02
This is a short-seller research note highlighting discrepancies between market valuation and actual commercial performance.expose_contradiction
03
Includes a highlighted quote from a peer-reviewed article regarding the system's inability to replace standard of care.expose_contradiction
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)
04
The slide presents qualitative evidence from industry representatives to frame AXDX's competitive position as limited by its narrow focus on blood stream infectname_villain
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)
05
The slide uses external citations (FDA approval, peer-reviewed article, ECCMID poster) to build a negative case against the subject technology.name_villain
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Zoom In
06
The slide uses a Q&A format to highlight technical and operational weaknesses in the AXDX Pheno system.expose_contradiction
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Zoom In
07
The slide uses a combination of technical critique and competitive intelligence (QuantaMatrix interview) to undermine the value proposition of the Pheno system.expose_gap
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Zoom In
08
The slide presents qualitative evidence from industry interviews and literature to argue against the economic viability of the Pheno system.name_villain
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Zoom In
09
The slide uses a Q&A format to present anecdotal evidence from industry reps and a physician to challenge the market value of rapid diagnostic systems.expose_contradiction
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Zoom In
10
The slide uses a rhetorical question to challenge the value proposition of rapid diagnostics in the context of standard sepsis care protocols.preempt_rebuttal
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
11
Image file not available at /tmp/legacy-images/dfcef8f28a20/slides/011.jpg; could not inspect.
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
12
The slide includes an embedded image of a conference presentation slide showing a diagnostic validity funnel.diagnose_problem
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
13
The slide uses a screenshot of a company presentation to frame a contradiction, then provides a textual rebuttal based on study methodology.expose_contradiction
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
14
The slide uses a timeline diagram to illustrate the reduction in time-to-result for blood culture testing.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
15
The slide uses a timeline diagram and a comparison table to challenge AXDX's claimed 75% time advantage.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
16
The slide uses quotes from management (Reichling, Mehren) to demonstrate a deterioration in business metrics over time, specifically comparing Q2 2018 and Q2 20expose_contradiction
17
The slide explains the methodology for deriving average instrument revenue percentages from disparate analyst reports.analyze_data
18
The table reconstructs cumulative totals based on the provided bar chart data.analyze_data
19
The slide explains the logic behind calculating 'functional system-months' based on contract timing and provides a supporting data table.analyze_data
20
The slide contains two tables: one showing quarterly data points and another showing column headers for a larger dataset.analyze_data
21
The slide uses a data table to expose a discrepancy between management's claims and the analyst's model.analyze_data
22
The chart shows a clear downward trend in reagent revenue per system from Q4 2017 to Q2 2019.expose_contradiction
23
Includes a Q&A excerpt from an investor relations call highlighting the lack of binding minimum test requirements.expose_contradiction
24
The slide contains a series of Q&A exchanges followed by a concluding synthesis paragraph.summarize
25
The slide uses a bearish investment research tone, highlighting risks to the company's business model and clinical validation.diagnose_problem
26
This is a short-seller research note analyzing the timeline of a clinical study and management's subsequent actions.expose_contradiction
27
The slide contrasts optimistic management commentary from 2018 with a more cautious tone in 2019.expose_contradiction
28
The slide uses a quote-based analysis to question the credibility of management's focus on 'time to optimal therapy' over 'mortality and length of stay'.expose_contradiction
29
Image file not available at /tmp/legacy-images/dfcef8f28a20/slides/029.jpg; could not inspect.
30
Includes a direct quote from Lawrence Mehren (CEO) to support the argument.preempt_rebuttal
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)
31
The slide uses a skeptical tone to challenge management's guidance, citing specific quarterly placement figures (133, 75, 55) to highlight a downward trend.diagnose_problem
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
32
The text highlights a contradiction between management's narrative of 'better pricing' strategy and the observed low compliance in clinical studies.expose_contradiction
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
33
The slide contrasts positive clinical trial data (PHENOMENON study) with negative market sentiment from a sell-side analyst survey.expose_contradiction
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
34
The slide presents a bearish thesis on AXDX based on primary research (lab surveys) and reimbursement analysis.diagnose_problem
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
35
Includes a transcript excerpt from a Q2 2019 earnings call regarding NTAP program applications.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
36
The table compares T2 Biosystems (implied) vs Accelerate Diagnostics (AXDX).compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · So What Cascade
37
The slide uses a narrative-driven argument to discredit the 'insider buying' signal often used by retail investors.preempt_rebuttal
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · So What Cascade
38
The slide uses a table to list holdings and concludes with a negative recommendation based on historical performance.name_villain
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · So What Cascade
39
The slide uses a narrative of corporate governance and executive hierarchy to predict a 'reset' of market guidance.expose_contradiction
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · So What Cascade
40
Research note by White Diamond Research, page 40.diagnose_problem
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · So What Cascade
41
This is a short-seller research note.summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)