Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co | Investment Banking Pitch Book | 94 slides

Tudor Pickering Holt · 2018-09
arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 3 LOOPS
SETUP TENSION ANALYSIS EVIDENCE RESOLUTION APPENDIX
HOVER FOR DETAILS · CLICK A SLIDE FOR FULLSCREEN · STEP 5
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Slide inventory

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every slide · same image gating as the playbook
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Slide 1
front_matter
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front_matter
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Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
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The slide outlines specific changes in exchange ratios, cash consideration, and financing assumptions for AMGP and AM proposals.summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
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summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
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Includes a complex ownership diagram and a detailed table of sponsor/management ownership stakes.present_framework
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The chart tracks multiple entities (AM, AM Peers, AMGP, AMGP Peers, AR, AMZ) over time with specific event callouts.illustrate_case
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Pattern Hunter
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The chart tracks total return performance indexed to 100% at the start date.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Pattern Hunter
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The chart tracks indexed total return on investment.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Pattern Hunter
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Includes a detailed table for 'Sample Adjusted XR Calculation' and a stacked bar chart for distribution splits.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Pattern Hunter
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Includes detailed peer group breakdown (E&P Sponsored vs. Other High-Growth MLP) and implied valuation ranges based on EBITDA, DCF, and distribution yield.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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Includes summary statistics (median/mean) for C-Corp, Affiliate, and 3rd Party transactions, plus a specific row for the AMGP Proposal.cite_precedent
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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Contains two sensitivity tables (matrix-nxn) and two detailed calculation tables.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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The chart illustrates sensitivity to yield assumptions on the valuation of AM.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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Includes sensitivity tables for discount rates vs multiples/yields and detailed calculation build-ups.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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The chart displays three lines representing different yield scenarios (6.0%, 7.0%, 8.0%) over three years (2019E, 2020E, 2021E).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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Includes sensitivity analysis for terminal yield (6%, 7%, 8%).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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Includes detailed footnotes explaining valuation methodologies and data sources.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Mece Breakdown
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Includes two sensitivity matrices (3x3) and two detailed financial tables for valuation.analyze_data
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The chart illustrates sensitivity to yield (4.0%, 5.5%, 7.0%) on future share price projections.analyze_data
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Includes sensitivity tables for discount rates vs multiples/yields and supplemental calculation details for terminal value.analyze_data
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The chart includes a dashed line representing the current share price for comparison against the projected values.analyze_data
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Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and detailed footnotes regarding calculation methodology.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and detailed methodology footnotes regarding DCF and distribution calculations.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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The slide compares two different metrics (ownership % and exchange ratios) across two categories (DCF and Distributions) for two entities (AM and AMGP).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and source notes regarding management projections.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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The slide compares two proposals (AMGP 1.797x vs AM 1.884x) against historical and projected financial metrics.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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The slide presents a sensitivity analysis of exchange ratios across two volume cases (Base and Downside) and three valuation methodologies.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes summary rows for Median and Mean, and specific subsets for Taxable Transactions.cite_precedent
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes a confidential draft watermark.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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The slide compares two different proposals (AMGP vs AM) across various financial metrics related to exchange ratios.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for various exchange ratios.quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for various exchange ratios and line charts showing projected accretion/dilution over time.quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for various exchange ratios and line charts showing projections from 2H 2018E to 2022E.quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for exchange ratios and line charts for specific scenarios.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes 2018E-2022E projections and 2019E-2022E CAGR.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Confidential draft; data as of 8/30/2018.compare_peers
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The slide presents multiple sensitivity tables for valuation, showing the impact of varying discount rates and multiples/yields.analyze_data
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Includes sensitivity tables for Discount Rate vs. Multiples/Yields.analyze_data
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Valuation effective date: 6/30/2018. Includes sensitivity tables for discount rates against multiples and yields.analyze_data
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The slide presents multiple sensitivity tables for valuation under a 'downside volumes' scenario.analyze_data
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The slide uses a sensitivity analysis approach to show valuation based on varying yield percentages.analyze_data
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The slide compares four scenarios (2 entities x 2 volume cases) with yield-based valuation projections.analyze_data
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The table displays a matrix of implied AM unit prices across different exchange ratios (rows) and dividend yield scenarios (columns).analyze_data
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Includes detailed tax calculations for three investor profiles: Average Unitholder, IPO Investor (Average Basis), and IPO Investor (IPO Basis).analyze_data
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Contains two side-by-side financial projection tables with detailed line items for EBITDA, tax adjustments, and per-unit distribution calculations.analyze_data
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Includes two line charts showing accretion/dilution trends and two data tables showing sensitivity analysis for different exchange ratios.analyze_data
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for various exchange ratios (XRs).quantify_impact
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for different exchange ratios and time periods.analyze_data
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for exchange ratios and trend lines for accretion/dilution.quantify_impact
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The slide presents a multi-year DCF-style projection including tax basis adjustments, return of capital, qualified dividends, and terminal value calculations.analyze_data
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The table displays financial projections for AM and PF AMGP under different yield scenarios.analyze_data
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Supplemental calculation for AR Base Case.analyze_data
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Includes 'Confidential Draft' watermark and Tudor Pickering Holt & Co branding.analyze_data
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Supplemental calculation for AR Base Case.analyze_data
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Supplemental calculation for AR Downside Volumes Case.analyze_data
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Contains confidential draft disclaimer and source attribution.analyze_data
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Includes detailed line items for taxable income, taxes, dividends, return of capital, and per-share tax calculations.analyze_data
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Includes a disclaimer box in the top right corner.analyze_data
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Includes a disclaimer box in the top right corner.analyze_data
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Includes a comparison of the Antero Midstream GP/LP proposal against historical medians and means.cite_precedent
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Includes median and mean calculations at the bottom of the table.cite_precedent
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Includes a confidential draft watermark.analyze_data
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Includes a small table for Cumulative Free Cash Flow scenarios.analyze_data
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Includes a small table comparing cumulative free cash flow across three scenarios.analyze_data
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Includes a small table comparing cumulative free cash flow across three scenarios.analyze_data
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Slide 76 from a Tudor Pickering Holt & Co deck.analyze_data
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Includes historical data (2016A-2017A) and projections (2018E-2022E).analyze_data
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and detailed footnotes regarding valuation methodology.analyze_data
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Includes detailed footnotes regarding valuation methodology and tax assumptions.analyze_data
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Includes CAGR projections for 2019E-2022E across three scenarios.analyze_data
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Includes analyst coverage and price target data for AMGP, AR, and AM.analyze_data
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Includes CAGR projections for 2019E-2022E for both cases.analyze_data
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Includes CAGR calculations for 2019E-2022E period for both cases.analyze_data
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The slide presents two distinct valuation approaches: a yield-based total return model and a CAPM-style model using Barra beta.analyze_data
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Includes a table of expected total returns and two side-by-side cost of equity calculations (sensitized vs. Barra beta).compare_peers
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The table calculates implied total return based on dividend growth and yield metrics.compare_peers
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Contains four distinct financial tables comparing Low/High ranges for various WACC inputs.analyze_data
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The slide uses a map to segment gas types by BTU range and geography, linking them to specific IRR performance metrics and inventory counts.analyze_data
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Includes a confidential draft disclaimer and detailed footnotes regarding data sources and assumptions.analyze_data
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Includes a highlighted 'AR Downside Pricing' case box on both charts.analyze_data
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The slide uses bar charts to compare operational metrics across four companies, highlighting median values for the peer group.compare_peers
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Includes firm contact information and standard financial disclaimer.front_matter