Tudor, Pickering, Holt & Co | Investment Banking Pitch Book | 90 slides

Tudor Pickering Holt · 2018-06
arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 2 LOOPS
SETUP TENSION ANALYSIS EVIDENCE RESOLUTION APPENDIX
HOVER FOR DETAILS · CLICK A SLIDE FOR FULLSCREEN · STEP 5
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Slide inventory

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every slide · same image gating as the playbook
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Slide 1
front_matter
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front_matter
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Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
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summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
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Includes a detailed ownership table and a financial metrics table for AR, AM, and AMGP.present_framework
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
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The chart uses a multi-line format to compare performance against peers, with specific callouts for equity issuance events (primary vs secondary) and major newsanalyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication
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Includes a table for adjusted XR calculation and a stacked bar chart for distribution splits.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication
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The slide uses a bar-chart-based comparison of analyst price targets against current and median price targets for three different companies.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication
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Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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The slide uses a waterfall-style bar chart for breakevens and a stacked bar chart for production growth, complemented by a pie chart for percentage contributionanalyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Includes forward curves for gas and NGL performance data.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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The slide compares AMGP with WGP and EQGP across various financial indicators. Includes confidential draft watermark.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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The slide uses a color-coded legend to categorize peers by sponsorship and growth profile (E&P Sponsored, High-Growth & E&P Sponsored, Other High-Growth MLP).compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Includes median lines for all four metrics. Data sourced from FactSet and company filings.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Includes regression analysis with and without AMGP. Companies are labeled with ticker symbols.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Includes specific commodity price decks and well completion projections for base vs. downside cases.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Includes a small table for Cumulative Free Cash Flow scenarios.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Includes a small table comparing cumulative free cash flow across three scenarios.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Includes a small table comparing cumulative FCF across three scenarios (Base, Downside Pricing, Downside).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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Includes CAGR calculations and YoY growth metrics.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes a confidential draft watermark.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and detailed footnotes regarding valuation methodology.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes detailed breakdown of IDR LLC cash flows and Series B unit valuation metrics.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes CAGR projections for 2018E-2022E across three scenarios.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes detailed valuation metrics such as EV/EBITDA, Price/DCF, and distribution yields.compare_peers
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes summary statistics (median/mean) for affiliate vs 3rd party transactions.cite_precedent
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes two sensitivity matrices (Discount Rate vs. Multiple/Yield) and two detailed DCF calculation tables.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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The chart illustrates sensitivity to yield assumptions on future unit price.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes sensitivity tables for discount rates vs multiples/yields and supplemental calculation details for terminal value.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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The chart illustrates sensitivity to yield (6%, 7%, 8%) against a baseline current unit price.quantify_impact
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Uses a tornado-style chart to visualize valuation ranges relative to a fixed current unit price.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and detailed footnotes regarding calculation methodologies.compare_peers
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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The slide contains two primary sensitivity tables and two detailed calculation tables for valuation.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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The chart illustrates sensitivity to yield (4.0%, 5.5%, 7.0%) on future share price projections.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Includes two sensitivity tables (Discount Rate vs. EBITDA Multiple and Discount Rate vs. Distribution Yield) and two detailed DCF calculation tables.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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The chart displays three trend lines representing different yield scenarios (4.0%, 5.5%, 7.0%) over four years (2018E-2021E), with a horizontal dashed line indianalyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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Uses a waterfall-style bar chart to show valuation ranges across different methodologies.analyze_data
Open slide detailLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
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transition
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and footnotes regarding calculation methodology.compare_options
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The slide compares ownership splits and exchange ratios, highlighting a proposal of 1.600x.analyze_data
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Includes a specific proposal for an exchange ratio of 1.600x.analyze_data
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The slide compares implied ownership percentages and exchange ratios against a 1.600x proposal line.analyze_data
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The slide presents a 'Downside Volumes Case' for a transaction, likely a merger or restructuring, showing how different valuation metrics impact ownership and eanalyze_data
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The slide presents two sets of sensitivity tables (Base and Downside cases) comparing AM and AMGP valuations to derive implied exchange ratios.analyze_data
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The slide presents a matrix of financial outcomes (AM vs AMGP with Series B Exchange) and the resulting implied exchange ratios.analyze_data
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The slide presents PV of Future Share Price (FSP) at a 10% discount rate for AM and AMGP entities, calculating the resulting exchange ratios.analyze_data
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and source attribution.analyze_data
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Includes CAGR calculations for 2018E-2022E for both scenarios.analyze_data
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for various exchange ratios (XRs).analyze_data
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for various exchange ratios.analyze_data
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The slide uses a sensitivity analysis framework to show financial outcomes across two variables.analyze_data
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Includes regression analysis with and without AMGP. Data points are labeled with ticker symbols.analyze_data
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Includes specific footnotes regarding calculation methodologies for DCF and CAGR.compare_peers
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Valuation effective date: 6/30/2018. Source: Management projections and FactSet as of 6/8/18.analyze_data
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The slide presents sensitivity tables for valuation metrics. The 'Has/Gets' terminology is standard in M&A to compare current value vs. pro-forma value.analyze_data
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The slide uses a 2x2 grid of line charts to show valuation projections over time (2018E-2021E) based on varying yield percentages.analyze_data
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The table displays a matrix of implied AM unit prices across different exchange ratios (rows) and dividend yields (columns).analyze_data
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Includes detailed tax calculations for average unitholders vs IPO investors and a 4-year post-tax distribution forecast.analyze_data
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Includes detailed breakdown of operating income, tax adjustments, and per-share distribution metrics.analyze_data
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Includes sensitivity analysis tables for various exchange ratios (XRs).analyze_data
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Includes sensitivity analysis table for exchange ratios and a detailed calculation table for after-tax XR.analyze_data
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The slide presents a financial calculation breakdown for exchange ratios.analyze_data
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Includes a specific note about the PWP merger in 2016.other
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Supplemental calculation for AR Base Case.analyze_data
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Supplemental calculation for AR Downside Volumes Case.analyze_data
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Includes implied XR calculations.analyze_data
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Includes implied XR calculations.analyze_data
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Contains two side-by-side financial valuation tables.analyze_data
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Includes median and mean calculations for each year.analyze_data
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Includes median and mean calculations at the bottom of the table.analyze_data
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The table includes a comparison of historical transactions against the Antero Midstream GP LP / Antero Midstream Partners LP transaction.cite_precedent
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Includes a sensitivity table for NOL valuation based on discount rate and utilization period.analyze_data
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Includes a confidential draft disclaimer and detailed footnotes regarding methodology for growth estimates and beta adjustments.compare_peers
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Includes two distinct valuation approaches: yield-based (expected total return) and CAPM-based (Barra Beta).compare_peers
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The table includes a footer with source information and a footnote explaining the calculation of 'Expected Growth'.compare_peers
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Confidential draft; includes detailed footnotes regarding methodology and data sources.analyze_data
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transition
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Includes confidential draft watermark; data source DrillingInfo, IHS, Company data.analyze_data
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Includes confidential draft disclaimer and detailed footnotes regarding methodology and data sources.analyze_data
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Includes specific callouts for AR Downside Pricing case.analyze_data
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The slide uses a dual-chart layout to compare operational efficiency metrics across industry peers.compare_peers