Corrections Corporation of America (CXW)

William Ackman · 2009-10
arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 3 LOOPS
SETUP TENSION ANALYSIS EVIDENCE RESOLUTION APPENDIX
HOVER FOR DETAILS · CLICK A SLIDE FOR FULLSCREEN · STEP 2
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Deck intelligence map

4
coverage by narrative range · generated from this deck JSON

Slide inventory

40
every slide · same image gating as the playbook
01
Slide 1
front_matter
Open slide detailBeat · Humble Origins
02
other
Open slide detailBeat · Humble Origins
03
The slide provides a basic company profile including ticker, stock price, operational scale, and financial metrics.establish_context
Open slide detailBeat · Humble Origins
04
Note: Facility EBITDA is before G&A.decompose_segments
Open slide detailBeat · Humble Origins
05
establish_context
Open slide detailBeat · Humble Origins
06
The slide emphasizes the stability of the client base (government agencies) to support the thesis that default is unlikely.establish_context
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
07
Includes a callout box emphasizing the strategic importance of bed capacity.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
08
The chart is a 3D pie chart showing the split between public and private facilities.size_opportunity
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
09
The slide uses a combination of statistical data and a photographic example to illustrate the severity of prison overcrowding.diagnose_problem
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
10
The slide uses a comparison frame to establish competitive advantage.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
11
compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
12
The slide uses a red circle to highlight the 49% figure for 2007.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
13
The chart uses a trend line to emphasize consistent growth over two decades.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
14
The chart distinguishes between 'Actual' data (blue line) and 'Projected' data (green line).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
15
The slide uses a 'capture rate' calculation to show that only 24% of projected federal demand is needed to fill the company's entire capacity.size_opportunity
Open slide detailBeat · Rising Success
16
Includes a CEO quote from Damon Hininger regarding capacity constraints.size_opportunity
Open slide detailBeat · Rising SuccessLoop · Why Now
17
Includes a 'Pershing Square Forecast' memo section at the bottom of the table.size_opportunity
Open slide detailBeat · The BreakthroughLoop · Why Now
18
The chart uses red bars to indicate years under economic recession.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · The BreakthroughLoop · Why Now
19
The slide uses a table to quantify available capacity as a driver for future EBITDA.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · The BreakthroughLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
20
The slide contrasts management's conservative $100mm estimate with a theoretical $230mm contribution margin, concluding the actual value lies between them.quantify_opportunity
Open slide detailBeat · The BreakthroughLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
21
The slide highlights the impact of a $125M share buyback program on share count reduction.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · The BreakthroughLoop · Quick Win Big Bet
22
The slide explains the structural reason for the divergence between EPS and FCFPS in the prison industry.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · The Breakthrough
23
The chart shows debt maturity schedule as of July 31, 2009.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · The Breakthrough
24
The chart defines ROCE as (Operating Income + Depreciation & Amortization - Maintenance and IT Cap-ex) / (average assets - average current liabilities).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
25
The table lists individual holdings and a group total, with footnotes explaining the basis of ownership and calculation.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
26
transition
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
27
The slide uses a standard financial model layout for valuation analysis.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
28
The chart tracks two metrics over time with a secondary table providing context on operational scale (beds) and capital structure (shares).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
29
The slide argues that the current multiple (9.8x) is undervalued relative to the historical pre-Lehman average (11.5x) given the improved earnings quality.show_valuation_bridge
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
30
summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
31
The table compares CCA against a benchmark of typical Health Care REITs across seven key metrics.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
32
Page number 31.show_valuation_bridge
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
33
The table uses two scenarios for Cap Rate (8.0% and 6.0%) to determine the valuation range.show_valuation_bridge
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
34
The slide provides a historical narrative of a corporate structure change.establish_context
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
35
The background contains a faded line chart showing a stock price decline, serving as a visual metaphor for the narrative.diagnose_problem
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
36
The slide uses a clear 'not X, but Y' framing to isolate the actual drivers of failure.diagnose_problem
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate AchievementLoop · Cost Of Inaction
37
The slide uses a vertical dashed line to separate historical data (2001-2008) from projected data (2009-2010).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate AchievementLoop · Cost Of Inaction
38
The slide uses a trend line to emphasize the downward trajectory of the managed business segment.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
39
cite_precedent
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement
40
summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Ultimate Achievement