Sony Corporation (6758.T)

Third Point · 2019-06
arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 2 LOOPS
SETUP TENSION ANALYSIS EVIDENCE RESOLUTION APPENDIX
HOVER FOR DETAILS · CLICK A SLIDE FOR FULLSCREEN · STEP 5
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Deck intelligence map

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coverage by narrative range · generated from this deck JSON

Slide inventory

102
every slide · same image gating as the playbook
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Slide 1
front_matter
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front_matter
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The slide outlines the investment thesis for Sony, highlighting segment profitability, valuation gap, and capital deployment potential.summarize
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Uses a numbered list to structure five distinct areas of investor concern.expose_contradiction
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
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frame_situation
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The slide uses two stacked bar charts to contrast the growth of 'Crown Jewel' segments against consolidated EBIT.summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
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The slide uses a waterfall-style logic for the first chart and a grouped bar chart for the second to demonstrate FCF health.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
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The slide uses stacked bar charts to illustrate business mix transformation.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
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The slide argues that the market is mispricing Sony given its shift toward higher-multiple businesses.show_valuation_bridge
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
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The chart highlights that Sony (black bar) is consistently valued lower than its industry peers in every segment.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
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This is a classic 'conglomerate discount' argument used by activist investors to justify a breakup or restructuring.diagnose_problem
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The table compares six Sony business units across six qualitative metrics: Capital Intensity, Customers, End Market, Growth, Industry Structure, and Cyclicalitycompare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
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The slide uses a table to demonstrate that most analysts use electronics-focused valuation methods rather than SOTP, which the activist argues is more appropriapreempt_rebuttal
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The slide uses a quote from Goldman Sachs to validate the 'villain' (complexity) and a bar chart to quantify the impact (conglomerate discount).name_villain
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The slide outlines a strategic preference for spin-offs over other corporate restructuring methods.propose_solution
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This slide outlines the core activist thesis for Third Point's campaign against Sony.propose_solution
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
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The slide uses a hub-and-spoke diagram to illustrate a corporate breakup/spinoff strategy.propose_solution
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)
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The chart uses a standard waterfall bridge to reconcile segment values to an enterprise value and finally an SOTP total, compared against the current share pricshow_valuation_bridge
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summarize
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front_matter
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This slide uses a classic 'conglomerate discount' argument structure.frame_problem
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The slide uses a diagonal timeline arrow to anchor historical milestones against product images.establish_context
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The slide uses a simple line chart to illustrate a long-term competitive decline.diagnose_problem
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summarize
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compare_peers
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Includes a technical diagram of a smartphone camera module and a product portfolio overview.analyze_data
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The slide uses a structured 'Commentary' vs 'Evidence' layout to validate the thesis.summarize
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Includes a dual-axis chart showing TAM in $bn and Y/Y growth percentage, alongside a pie chart of market mix.size_opportunity
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Includes a market sizing table for CIS (CMOS Image Sensor) units and a historical/projected bar chart of cameras per phone.size_opportunity
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Includes a TAM calculation table, a historical bar chart of units per vehicle, and a Tesla Model 3 sensor diagram.size_opportunity
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The slide uses a combination of stacked area charts, donut charts, and a process flow to illustrate the investment thesis.quantify_opportunity
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Includes specific references to Sony 2019 IR Day slides 145, 150, and 153.show_valuation_bridge
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Market data as of 6/11/2019.compare_peers
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Uses an arrow-based process diagram to illustrate the benefits of a spin-off.propose_solution
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propose_solution
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The slide uses a list-based structure to present a strategic argument for a corporate spin-off.propose_solution
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The slide uses peer benchmarking to justify a call for increased capital expenditure at Sony.compare_peers
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Includes external analyst commentary on Broadcom and Qualcomm to support the thesis that R&D investment drives value.compare_peers
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Uses historical data to argue for the benefits of corporate spin-offs.illustrate_case
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Includes detailed legal/tax criteria for a corporate split in Japan.appendix
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front_matter
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This slide presents the core investment thesis for the 'New Sony' entity.summarize
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The slide uses pie charts to show current segment mix and a stacked bar chart to show historical and projected EBIT growth.analyze_data
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This is a classic 'ecosystem map' or 'brand portfolio' slide used to demonstrate the breadth of Sony's media footprint.establish_context
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Uses Tencent as a high-multiple peer benchmark to highlight Sony's undervaluation.compare_peers
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Data as of 6/11/2019. Includes regional segmentation (US, China, Japan).compare_peers
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Includes historical data and forward-looking estimates for revenue and operating profit.analyze_data
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The slide uses a dual-chart layout to establish market growth and competitive positioning.size_opportunity
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The slide uses a before-after framing to contrast Sony's performance in two distinct console cycles.compare_peers
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51
Shows revenue composition change over time, highlighting the impact of PS4 launch and PS Plus.analyze_data
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52
The slide uses a stacked area chart for revenue mix and a line chart with vertical cycle markers for operating margins.analyze_data
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53
Includes historical/forecast chart and comparative table of subscriber counts and financial metrics.compare_peers
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The slide uses a stacked bar chart to show historical and estimated trends in sales mix, and a grouped bar chart to compare profit margins across first-party anquantify_opportunity
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55
Includes a list of Sony studios, a benchmarking table against the 'Big 4' publishers, and a list of top 15 selling PS4 games.compare_peers
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Includes a historical chart of Sony's operating profit trends and a comparison table of emerging cloud gaming services.preempt_rebuttal
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The slide uses historical data to establish a pattern of console life cycles to support a bearish outlook on near-term unit sales.analyze_data
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Includes a timeline diagram and two sections of investor relations commentary.diagnose_problem
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Includes a waterfall chart explaining the FY18 to FY19 profit bridge.summarize
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The slide uses two bar charts to contrast loyalty (repurchase intent) and churn (switching intent).analyze_data
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61
The slide uses a structured list format to systematically dismantle the value proposition of standalone cloud gaming services like Google Stadia.diagnose_problem
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The slide uses a simple logo-grid to frame the competitive landscape.name_villain
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63
Uses historical screenshots of articles from 2007, 2012, and 2013 to establish a pattern of false alarms.preempt_rebuttal
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The slide uses a combination of a news article screenshot, a bar chart for latency comparison, and two scatter plots with trend lines to demonstrate the linear diagnose_problem
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Includes a red-circled callout on the table highlighting hardware spend per month.diagnose_problem
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Uses a comparison table to highlight the differences between the two industries.expose_contradiction
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The slide uses a color-coded heatmap (green/yellow/red) to indicate competitive strength across different criteria.compare_peers
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Uses a news clipping as a visual anchor to establish the premise of the partnership.preempt_rebuttal
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The slide uses a 10-12x EBIT multiple to justify a $35-43bn valuation, arguing it is a conservative premium to Japanese peers and a discount to US/China peers.show_valuation_bridge
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Includes historical CAGR data and key M&A milestones.summarize
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Includes a callout box emphasizing the strategic timing of Sony's acquisitions.quantify_opportunity
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Uses a combination of a stacked bar chart for subscriber growth and a stacked area chart for industry revenue to illustrate the thesis.size_opportunity
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Slide uses a stacked bar chart for demographics and a scatter plot for market penetration.quantify_opportunity
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74
Includes revenue from recorded music, publishing, and merchandising/other. Sony Music excludes 'Visual Media & Platform'.analyze_data
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The charts use a stacked area format to visualize the transition from physical/download to streaming revenue.compare_peers
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76
Includes a direct quote from Spotify CFO Barry McCarthy to support the argument regarding platform-label negotiations.preempt_rebuttal
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77
Includes a valuation sensitivity table for UMG based on enterprise value.show_valuation_bridge
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78
The slide uses a sum-of-the-parts (SOTP) logic to justify the valuation of the music segment.quantify_opportunity
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79
Includes historical CAGR data and organizational structure diagram.analyze_data
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80
The slide uses a split-layout to categorize assets into Film and TV franchises, utilizing logos as visual evidence of the library's depth.summarize
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81
The slide uses a dashed box to highlight Sony Pictures in both charts. Netflix data is noted as total company, not just studio.compare_peers
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Includes a callout box with CAGR data for 2013-2018.analyze_data
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The slide uses two line charts to illustrate the decline in film output per studio and in aggregate.analyze_data
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84
Includes a table of entertainment studio transaction comps, a summary P&L for Sony Pictures, and an indicative valuation range for YE 2021.size_opportunity
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85
The slide uses a combination of a timeline-style list of corporate actions and a stacked bar chart to demonstrate the impact of restructuring on headcount.summarize
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86
The slide uses red boxes to highlight key negative phrases in the analyst reports.expose_contradiction
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87
Includes a table of analyst sum-of-the-parts valuations and a bar chart comparing EV/EBIT multiples of peers.show_valuation_bridge
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Slide 88 from an activist investor deck (Third Point).summarize
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89
Includes two tables of financial/market data and three pie charts illustrating market share shifts.compare_peers
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Includes a product review snippet for the Sony Z9G Master Series 8K TV.compare_peers
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compare_peers
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Includes a valuation table for segments and a bar chart for peer EV/EBIT multiples.show_valuation_bridge
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transition
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propose_solution
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The slide uses a bulleted list to detail specific stakes in Sony Financial, M3, Olympus, and Spotify.quantify_opportunity
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The slide uses a waterfall bridge to demonstrate capital availability from cash, FCF, asset sales, and leverage.quantify_opportunity
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Includes key assumptions regarding asset monetization and tax rates.quantify_opportunity
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Includes a direct quote from Apple CFO Luca Maestri regarding the 2018 buyback announcement.cite_precedent
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appendix
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analyze_data
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The slide highlights an opportunity for asset portfolio optimization and explains a 2016 MCEV restatement.analyze_data
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Includes historical CAGR charts and consensus financial forecasts.analyze_data
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