Phillips 66 (PSX)

John Pike and Mike Tomkins · 2023-11
arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 2 LOOPS
SETUP TENSION ANALYSIS EVIDENCE RESOLUTION APPENDIX
HOVER FOR DETAILS · CLICK A SLIDE FOR FULLSCREEN · STEP 1
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Deck intelligence map

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coverage by narrative range · generated from this deck JSON

Slide inventory

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every slide · same image gating as the playbook
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Slide 1
This is the first page of an activist investor letter. It establishes the 'villain' (poor operational execution) and the 'hero's journey' (the path to 75% upsidframe_problem
Open slide detailBeat · Setup
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Includes a callout circle on the line chart highlighting the divergence in opex/bbl.expose_gap
Open slide detailBeat · Complication
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Includes a direct quote from a Cowen analyst regarding the failure of the 2019 AdvantEdge66 program.expose_gap
Open slide detailBeat · Problem (Identify pain)
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Includes footnotes regarding methodology for capex and peer comparison.show_valuation_bridge
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
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This is a text-heavy shareholder letter page outlining a 'Plan B' if current management fails.preempt_rebuttal
Open slide detailBeat · Agitate (Make it worse)Loop · Cost Of Inaction
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The slide uses a peer benchmark to justify a demand for management changes and asset monetization.state_next_steps
Open slide detailBeat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Quick Win Big Bet