NY COVID-19 Preliminary Economic Impact Assessment

BCG

arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 2 LOOPS

Deck intelligence map

coverage by narrative range · generated from this deck JSON

Narrative range 33 total

Metadata

Components

Metrics

Tools

Frameworks

Beats

Loops

Situation & Context 5 slides 100% 5/5 slides 100% 5/5 slides · 22 hits

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40% 2/5 slides

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Problem & Complication 6 slides 100% 6/6 slides 100% 6/6 slides · 49 hits

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50% 3/6 slides · 6 hits

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Evidence & Proof 11 slides 100% 11/11 slides 100% 11/11 slides · 78 hits

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54.5% 6/11 slides · 8 hits 45.5% 5/11 slides 100% 11/11 slides 72.7% 8/11 slides Impact & Next Steps 11 slides 100% 11/11 slides 100% 11/11 slides · 87 hits

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18.2% 2/11 slides

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Slide inventory

every slide · same image gating as the playbook

front_matter

Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context

other

Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context

This is a formal cover/introductory page for a report.front_matter

Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context

This is a formal letter/statement from Robert F. Mujica Jr. acting as a closing or executive summary statement.summarize

Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context

front_matter

Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context

summarize

Open slide detail

summarize

Open slide detail

Part 3 of 3 executive summary slides.summarize

Open slide detail

frame_problem

Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication

diagnose

Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication

establish_context

Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication

The slide uses a combination of big numbers and bullet points to emphasize NY's economic importance.quantify_impact

Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication

The slide uses three distinct charts to quantify economic harm across different sectors (labor, consumer spending, manufacturing).establish_context

Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication

The slide uses a combination of bar charts and data tables to visualize economic distress by industry.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Problem & Complication

The slide uses a vertical timeline-like structure to group assumptions by category (Epidemic, US economy, NY economy).frame_problem

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof

The slide uses a grid of 8 charts (4 levels, 4 growth) to compare 2003 SARS, 1957/58 H2N2, 1968 H3N2, and 1918 Spanish Flu.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof

The slide uses a 'waterfall' style logic to calculate the total economic impact as the sum of the area under the pre-recession GDP line and the area between thequantify_impact

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Cost Of Inaction

The chart illustrates the decomposition of budget gaps into original estimates and COVID-19 impacts.quantify_impact

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Cost Of Inaction

illustrate_case

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Cost Of Inaction

The slide uses area charts to visualize the 'area under water' (GDP loss) for different economic downturns.compare_options

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Cost Of Inaction

NY Real GDP rebased to its value in the latest pre-recession quarter. Total economic impact is calculated as the total 'area under water' relative to the most rcompare_options

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Before After

The slide uses a 'trough' visualization to show the depth of economic impact relative to a pre-recession baseline.quantify_impact

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Before After

The slide uses a grouped bar chart format within a table structure to compare metrics across industries.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Before After

The chart uses a waterfall structure to show the cumulative contribution of sectors to the total NY private sector GDP.quantify_impact

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Before After

The chart uses a waterfall structure to show the contribution of various sectors to the total NYS private sector GDP.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof

Includes a line chart showing YoY restaurant reservation declines and a line chart showing a projected recovery path.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

Includes a bar chart showing YoY % change in construction permits and a line chart showing a recovery projection.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

Includes a line chart of Dow Jones indices and a projection chart for industry GDP impact.diagnose

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

The chart highlights a divergence in Q1 2020 where 'Other Sectors' spike significantly while 'Finance and Insurance' remains relatively stable.diagnose

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

Includes quotes from Jamie Dimon and Thomas Holzheu.summarize

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

Includes a bar chart of dental clinic status and a line chart showing projected recovery.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

Includes a line chart showing YoY credit card sales changes and a recovery projection chart.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

The chart uses a V-shaped recovery model with varying slopes for different retail segments.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

Includes a line chart showing YoY credit card sales decline and a projection chart for industry GDP recovery.analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

Data sources: Transit app (public transit), Earnest Research and BCG Analytics (rideshare).analyze_data

Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps

The slide outlines five key variables (Short-term impacts, Timing of restart, Pace of restart, Add'l epidemic waves, Tax structure) that define the scope and liestablish_context