Airline Economic Analysis

Oliver Wyman
arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 2 LOOPS
SETUP TENSION ANALYSIS EVIDENCE RESOLUTION APPENDIX
HOVER FOR DETAILS · CLICK A SLIDE FOR FULLSCREEN · STEP 2
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Deck intelligence map

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coverage by narrative range · generated from this deck JSON

Slide inventory

41
every slide · same image gating as the playbook
01
Slide 1
front_matter
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
02
front_matter
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
03
front_matter
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
04
The slide uses a numbered list format to categorize findings into Cost and Revenue sections.summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & Context
05
This appears to be a continuation of a list of key takeaways or report sections.summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Logic Chain
06
The slide explicitly excludes regional carriers and explains the rationale for using DOT data over SEC filings.appendix
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Logic Chain
07
The slide compares cost structures across three groups: overall sample, network carriers, and value carriers.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Logic Chain
08
The chart shows a stacked bar comparison of labor, fuel, and other costs for three airline groups.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Logic Chain
09
The chart uses a stacked bar format to show Fuel vs Other costs, with a separate bar for the 'Cost Gap' difference.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Logic Chain
10
The chart illustrates the divergence between system average fuel prices and spot prices, with annotations explaining hedging benefits and penalties.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Logic Chain
11
The chart tracks four metrics: Network CASM ex-Fuel, Fuel CASM, Value CASM ex-Fuel, and Value Fuel CASM.compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
12
The charts show a clear trend of network carriers adopting new technology aircraft at a faster rate than value carriers.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
13
The chart uses a floating bar/range plot to show median, high, and low values for fuel burn.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
14
The chart is a floating bar chart showing range (high/low) and median values.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
15
The slide contains two distinct pieces of information: a chart about aircraft fuel efficiency and text discussing CASM (Cost per Available Seat Mile) trends foranalyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
16
The slide contains both a stacked bar chart and a detailed data table for the same set of airlines.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
17
The chart is a stacked bar chart comparing 2010 vs 2011 for 7 airlines, broken down by Labor, Fuel, and Other costs.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
18
The table provides a breakdown of CASM components (Labor, Fuel, Other) and year-over-year increases.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
19
The chart uses a specific formula for stage-length adjustment: SLA = CASM * ((SL/1000)^0.3333).compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
20
The chart illustrates the relationship between aircraft stage length and direct operating costs per available seat mile (CASM).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & ProofLoop · Hypothesis Test
21
The chart compares system and domestic RASM for two carrier types over time.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
22
The slide also contains a header for section 14, which is not fully presented.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
23
The slide contains both a chart (Exhibit 18) and text discussing a separate Exhibit 19 (not shown).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
24
The slide includes an exhibit (19) showing RASM data and a text section introducing the topic of baggage and cancellation fees.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
25
The chart highlights significant growth in service fees, particularly between 2008 and 2011, with specific percentage growth labels for each category.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
26
The chart highlights the proportion of ancillary revenue (non-ticketed) for each carrier, with Spirit showing the highest percentage.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
27
The chart uses stacked bars to decompose RASM and CASM into Labor, Fuel, and Other components.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
28
The chart uses a stacked bar format to break down RASM/CASM components (Labor, Fuel, Other).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
29
The chart uses a stacked bar format to show the breakdown of load factor performance relative to break-even points for 14 airlines.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
30
Includes two line charts comparing quarterly and monthly load factors against break-even load factors (BELF).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
31
The slide uses color-coded seat maps to illustrate break-even points and revenue opportunities for two different airline business models.compare_options
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
32
The chart shows year-over-year (yoy) percentage changes for three carrier segments across two periods (2010 and 2011).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
33
The chart is a stacked bar chart showing the distribution of aircraft types over four years, with a summary column for percentage change between 2010 and 2011.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
34
The slide uses a 100% stacked area chart to visualize the changing composition of revenue by geographic region.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
35
summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
36
The slide uses waterfall charts to decompose revenue growth into specific drivers like Load Factor, Yield, and Capacity (Seats).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
37
The chart uses a standard waterfall format to bridge the revenue gap between two periods.quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
38
The table highlights that value carrier market share varies by region, with Oceania having the highest share (41.2%) and South America the lowest (5.4%).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
39
The chart uses a dual-axis combination of grouped bars (RASK/CASK) and a line (Stage Length).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
40
summarize
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps