MTA Financial Impact COVID-19

McKinsey
arc beats above · slides in the middle · loops below · scroll → 2 LOOPS
SETUP TENSION ANALYSIS EVIDENCE RESOLUTION APPENDIX
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coverage by narrative range · generated from this deck JSON

Slide inventory

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every slide · same image gating as the playbook
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front_matter
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summarize
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front_matter
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The slide uses a simple additive framework to explain the revenue model components.establish_context
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & ContextLoop · Maturity Curve
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The slide uses a causal-chain logic to explain the methodology behind ridership forecasting during the COVID-19 pandemic.present_framework
Open slide detailBeat · Situation & ContextLoop · Maturity Curve
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The chart categorizes transit systems by mode (Commuter Rail, Heavy Rail, Bus, Mix) and shows the date of data collection.diagnose
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Maturity Curve
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The slide uses two different chart types to illustrate the same trend: a line chart with data labels for the initial drop and a multi-line time series chart foranalyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Maturity Curve
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The slide uses a dual-axis line chart to compare transit modes against unemployment rates over a 48-month period.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Maturity Curve
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The slide uses historical data to frame expectations for future recovery, specifically referencing the 'V-shaped' recovery model.illustrate_case
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Maturity Curve
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The slide outlines considerations for modeling a COVID-19 curve.establish_context
Open slide detailBeat · Problem & ComplicationLoop · Maturity Curve
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The slide uses a dual-column layout to present a chart on the left and qualitative assumptions on the right.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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The slide presents two distinct scenarios (Moderate vs Severe) with monthly projections from March to December 2020.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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The chart shows traffic as a percentage of base level traffic. The scenarios are based on COVID-19 containment assumptions.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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The slide compares two scenarios based on ridership percentages and revenue loss projections.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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The slide uses a dual-panel line chart to compare two scenarios (vaccine availability) across two metrics (ridership and traffic).quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Solution & Approach
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front_matter
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The slide uses a simple additive framework to distinguish between two primary revenue streams and their respective forecasting drivers.establish_context
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The slide uses a structured table to map revenue archetypes to specific calculation methodologies and applicable tax categories.present_framework
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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The slide uses a structured table format to map revenue categories to analytical methods and key assumptions.present_framework
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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The chart illustrates a decline in employment starting in Q1 2020, with a steeper drop by Q2 2020 and a continued gradual decline through Q4 2020.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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The table compares MRT-1, MRT-2, and Urban tax components across the Great Recession period.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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The slide uses a 3x3 matrix structure to categorize economic outcomes based on two axes: Virus Spread/Public Health Response and Economic Policy Response.compare_options
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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The slide highlights Scenario A1 and A3 against historical benchmarks like the 73 oil shock, 81 recession, and the Global Financial Crisis.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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The chart shows two scenarios for traffic recovery through 2020, used as a basis for tax modeling.present_framework
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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The table uses parentheses to denote negative values (losses).quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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The slide uses a table format to present qualitative assumptions and quantitative financial impacts.quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Evidence & Proof
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front_matter
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The slide compares two distinct estimation approaches with specific dollar ranges for each.present_framework
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
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The slide uses a bottom-up approach to estimate COVID-19 related incremental costs for transit agencies.quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
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front_matter
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next Steps
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The slide uses parentheses to denote negative financial impacts (losses).analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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Includes footnotes regarding data limitations and methodology.analyze_data
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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front_matter
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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The slide uses a numbered list to structure the argument, moving from context (NYC economy) to specific infrastructure importance (MTA) to current crisis impactquantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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The slide uses two donut charts to compare market share across two metrics (ridership and revenue).compare_peers
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Cost Of Inaction
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The slide uses BEA multipliers to estimate direct, indirect, and induced economic impacts.quantify_impact
Open slide detailBeat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Cost Of Inaction