slides · global inventory
42 Hypothesis Test
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The slide uses a two-part table structure: a revenue/inventory adjustment model on the left and a peer benchmark comparison on the right.Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Beat · Agitate (Make it worse)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a red box to highlight the subject company (Monolithic Power Systems) and an annotation to explain a spike in NXP Semi's data.Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Beat · Agitate (Make it worse)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide highlights Monolithic's upward trend in inventory compared to the relatively stable or fluctuating trends of its peers, with a specific annotation on the Renesas chart regarding an acquisition.Monolithic Power Systems (MPWR) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Beat · Agitate (Make it worse)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a 'Four Different Inconsistent Statements' framework to undermine management credibility.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a primary source document (TASE filing) to challenge the company's financial disclosures.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Uses a timeline/process flow to show the evolution of the company's narrative vs. actual financial reporting.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Includes a snippet from a 20-F filing and a table comparing Q1/Q2 2018 financial data.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Spruce Point Capital Management branding.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Uses red arrows to visually emphasize the divergence between GAAP and Non-GAAP trends.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide serves as a track record of successful short-selling/activist research.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a combination of a stacked bar chart showing cash decline and a screenshot of a 2011 investor presentation to highlight a contradiction between historical policy and current management rhetoric.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Uses red boxes to highlight the shift in language from 'roughly half' to 'a portion' of free cash flow.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Uses a 'CEO quote contradiction' framework to highlight the shift in management's tone.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a 'Spruce Point Adjusted EBITDA' to derive debt capacity and then calculates potential inorganic sales growth based on acquisition multiples.Amdocs Limited (DOX) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Uses a FOIA email as primary evidence to validate competitive disruption.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Uses a callout box to highlight the 40% drop in tuition costs for newer cohorts.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a table to contrast the cost structures of two different business models in the OPM space.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a 'villain' framing (2U) vs 'disruptor' (Noodle) to undermine the incumbent's steady-state narrative.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Spruce Point Capital Management branding (pine tree logo).2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Uses a 'before-after' style framing to contrast corporate claims with empirical data.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a combination of financial tables and qualitative callouts to debunk the scalability of 2U's business model.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a red box to emphasize the specific risk factor related to 'Ineffective marketing efforts'.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses a table to show the trend of marketing costs and FCEs, with callout boxes emphasizing the reversal of cost efficiency.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide uses data from semrush.com to demonstrate rising customer acquisition costs in the online education sector.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Includes WACC assumptions and derivation of estimated fair value per share.Lumen Technologies (LUMN) · Kerrisdale Capital
Research note Short seller Beat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Includes mean and median calculations for the peer group.Lumen Technologies (LUMN) · Kerrisdale Capital
Research note Short seller Beat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Lumen Technologies (LUMN)Lumen Technologies (LUMN) · Kerrisdale Capital
Research note Short seller Beat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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Lumen Technologies (LUMN)Lumen Technologies (LUMN) · Kerrisdale Capital
Research note Short seller Beat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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The slide discusses the SEC vs. Andrew Left (Citron Research) case to frame Kerrisdale's own disclosure practices.Lumen Technologies (LUMN) · Kerrisdale Capital
Research note Short seller Beat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit
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This slide functions as a preemptive legal defense against potential regulatory scrutiny regarding trading practices.Lumen Technologies (LUMN) · Kerrisdale Capital
Research note Short seller Beat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Hypothesis Test1 hit