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Scenario Table
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20
Includes qualitative callouts regarding gross margin compression and cost structure assumptions.Align Technology, Inc. (ALGN) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller Beat · Agitate (Make it worse)Loop · Cost Of Inaction1 hit
11
The table models three scenarios: increased sharebacks, total departure from GPO, and total departure from GPO plus other services.Premier, Inc. (PINC) · Spruce Point Capital Management
Activist deck Short seller 1 hit
22
The slide uses a scenario-based comparison to argue for an immediate exit strategy.Premier, Inc. (PINC) · Spruce Point Capital Management
Activist deck Short seller 1 hit
39
The table models five scenarios for Medtronic's aspiration pricing ($4k down to $0) and calculates the resulting financial impact.Penumbra, Inc. (PEN) · Spruce Point Capital Management
Activist deck Short seller Beat · The Victory1 hit
51
The slide uses a color-coded matrix to highlight scenarios where EBITDA impact exceeds 10%.Axon Enterprise (formerly TASER) (AAXN) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Beat · The Victory1 hit
74
The slide highlights the discrepancy between company guidance and the analyst's bearish scenario.Dexcom, Inc. (DXCM) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller 1 hit
77
The slide uses a sensitivity table to argue that downside risk is significantly higher than upside potential.Dexcom, Inc. (DXCM) · Ben Axler
Activist deck Short seller 1 hit
24
The slide uses a scenario table to illustrate the impact of market headwinds on EBITDA margins.2U, Inc. (TWOU) · 54_Spruce_Point_Capital
Activist deck Short seller Beat · Agitate (Make it worse)Loop · Mece Breakdown1 hit
28
The table uses a scenario-based valuation approach to calculate downside risk.e.l.f. Beauty, Inc. (ELF) · Spruce Point Capital Management
Activist deck Short seller Beat · The VictoryLoop · Cost Of Inaction1 hit
24
The table models five scenarios ranging from 'Most Conservative' to 'Most Aggressive' to demonstrate potential revenue misses.DraftKings Inc. (DKNG) · Spruce Point Capital Management
Activist deck Short seller Beat · The VictoryLoop · Zoom In1 hit
87
Uses a sensitivity table to demonstrate implied ROE against consolidated ROE targets.The Bank of New York Mellon (BK) · Marcato Capital Management
Activist deck Activist investor Loop · Before After1 hit
14
The slide uses a scenario table to demonstrate that Carvana's current operating levels are insufficient to cover fixed charges, highlighting a gap between management goals and reality.Carvana Co. (CVNA) · Kerrisdale Capital
Research note Short seller Beat · The Struggle1 hit
11
Includes a secondary table showing implied Cap Rate, P/AFFO, and Dividend Yield based on PropCo multiples.Dillard's, Inc. (DDS) · Marcato
Activist deck Activist investor Beat · Solution (Provide relief)Loop · Tale Two Worlds1 hit
12
Includes a stacked bar chart for revenue capacity and a scenario table for FCF projections.Texas Instruments (TXN) · Jesse Cohn
Shareholder letter Activist investor Beat · Solution & ApproachLoop · Cost Of Inaction1 hit
192
The chart uses a line graph with red dots representing failure scenarios and a blue dot for the base case.Bristol-Myers Squibb Company (BMY) · Starboard Value
Activist deck Activist investor 1 hit
25
The table demonstrates potential for 2.5x operating income growth.Forward Air Corporation (FWRD) · Ancora
Activist deck Activist investor 1 hit
64
The slide uses a scenario table to demonstrate the impact of varying capital requirements on required G-fees.Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac (FNMA / FMCC) · William Ackman
Conference presentation Activist investor Beat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Cost Of Inaction1 hit
88
The table shows a hypothetical scenario analysis of GSE financial performance during the 2007-2011 period.Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac (FNMA / FMCC) · William Ackman
Conference presentation Activist investor Beat · Impact & Next StepsLoop · Cost Of Inaction1 hit
16
The slide uses a visual arrow to represent the 'Capacity reduction' process applied to the 2010 margin data.Fortune Brands Home & Security (FBHS) · William Ackman
Conference presentation Activist investor Loop · Quick Win Big Bet1 hit
23
The slide uses a simple arithmetic model to project recovery timelines based on current excess supply and assumed housing starts.Fortune Brands Home & Security (FBHS) · William Ackman
Conference presentation Activist investor 1 hit
29
The slide presents a financial bridge/calculation to justify a $400M EBITDA floor.Fortune Brands Home & Security (FBHS) · William Ackman
Conference presentation Activist investor Beat · Financials1 hit
32
The slide uses a scenario-based valuation approach to demonstrate upside potential based on housing starts.Fortune Brands Home & Security (FBHS) · William Ackman
Conference presentation Activist investor Beat · Financials1 hit
67
The table highlights the 9.4% cap rate column and the 5.5% ownership row as the break-even point.General Growth Properties (GGWPQ) · Pershing Square
Activist deck Activist investor Beat · Solution (Provide relief)1 hit
63
New Pacific Metals (NUAG)New Pacific Metals (NUAG) · Nathan Anderson
Conference presentation Short seller 1 hit
14
Includes a footnote explaining the conservative assumptions (10% reduction in billings growth, 40% incremental variable costs).Houghton Mifflin Harcourt (HMHC) · Engine Capital
Activist deck Activist investor Beat · The Victory (Superior Plan)1 hit
16
Includes a callout box highlighting the key takeaway and a legend for IRR thresholds.Houghton Mifflin Harcourt (HMHC) · Engine Capital
Activist deck Activist investor Beat · The Victory (Superior Plan)1 hit
22
The slide uses a scenario-based valuation approach to estimate year-end 2014 share value.Lowe's Companies, Inc. (LOW) · Pershing Square Capital Management
Conference presentation Activist investor Beat · Why Now1 hit
25
The tables highlight the $125 dividend scenario as a focal point.Outerwall Inc. (OUTR) · Engaged Capital
Activist deck Activist investor Beat · Solution & Approach1 hit
34
The slide uses a two-part scenario table to demonstrate valuation upside.Target Corporation (TGT) · William Ackman
Activist deck Activist investor Beat · Evidence & Proof1 hit
29
Includes two sensitivity tables with highlighted rows for the $160mm cost savings scenario.Wendy's International (WEN) · Pershing Square Capital Management
Conference presentation Activist investor 1 hit