Pattern: Peer-gap chart
What it is
A single visual that benchmarks the target against its best-in-class peers on a single quantitative KPI — and shows the target losing. The gap is the punchline.
Why it works
- It's the most credible claim in the deck because it's arithmetic, not opinion.
- It's immediately actionable — close this gap and value accrues.
- It pre-empts the "context is different" defence by pitting the target against direct peers in the same category.
When to use it
- ✅ The target is a public company with ≥3 comparable listed peers
- ✅ There's a measurable KPI where the target lags (operating margin, ROIC, same-store sales, EBITDA margin, operating ratio, revenue growth, cost per unit, FCF conversion, NPS, employee productivity, etc.)
- ❌ Don't force it when the peer set is weak (the comeback is "these aren't real comps")
Recipe
- Pick one KPI. Not three. One. The one where the gap is widest.
- Choose 4–6 peers. Real operating comps, not stretch comps. Keep the set defensible.
- Use a bar chart. Sorted descending (or ascending if "lower is better").
- Colour the target differently — typically a warning colour (red/orange) against the peers' neutral grey.
- Label the gap in the title, not the chart legend. Title carries the punch. E.g.: "CP has the worst operating ratio of all Class I railroads."
- Annotate the "winner" — the peer whose performance you're implicitly challenging the target to match.
- One extra line: what closing the gap would deliver. "Matching CN's 63% operating ratio would add $X per share."
Headline language that works
- "Company X has the worst / highest / lowest [metric] in its peer group."
- "Every peer we studied outperforms on [metric] by [X]pp / [X]%."
- "To match the peer median, the target must improve [metric] by [X] points."
Common mistakes
- Too many KPIs → the reader doesn't know what to focus on. One chart, one metric.
- Wrong peer set → the target's PR will list "more appropriate" peers. Pre-empt this by using peers the target itself cites in its own 10-K or investor day.
- Outdated data → any comp older than the last fiscal year is vulnerable to "that's not current".
- Hiding the y-axis baseline → feels manipulative; use full range unless the distortion is material to your argument.
Exemplars
See examples/by_pattern.json → peer_gap. Canonical examples:
- Pershing Square · Canadian Pacific (Feb 2012) — the archetype. "CP has the worst operating ratio of any Class I railroad while closest peer CN has the best." 5 peers, single chart, the gap carries the entire deck.
- Starboard · Darden Restaurants (Sep 2014) — margin gap to casual-dining peers, opened at 300bps, closed campaign at parity under new board.
- Pershing Square · McDonald's (Nov 2005) — unusual inverted use: McDonald's trades at a discount to peers despite owning vastly more real estate.
- Starboard · Autodesk (Aug 2024) — operating-margin gap vs. Adobe and Intuit.
The slide itself
See slides/peer-gap-chart-recipe.md for exact layout, typography and
colour decisions.