{
  "docId": "019f6b8f-3904-74ed-ae5e-99a9a8efb210",
  "docSlug": "jarvis-mckinsey-restoring-economic-health-to-the-north-sea",
  "documentTitle": "McKinsey Restoring Economic Health to the North Sea",
  "authorId": "mckinsey-restoring-economic-health-to-the-north-sea",
  "authorName": null,
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": null,
  "aspectRatio": null,
  "pageNumber": 8,
  "pageCount": 28,
  "prevPage": 7,
  "nextPage": 9,
  "slideType": "diagnosis",
  "function": "diagnose",
  "density": "sparse",
  "nDataPoints": 11,
  "notes": "The chart illustrates the 'forecast vs actual' gap, highlighting that industry expectations were consistently too optimistic.",
  "elementsJson": null,
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019f6b8f-3904-74ed-ae5e-99a9a8efb210/8",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3904-74ed-ae5e-99a9a8efb210",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3904-74ed-ae5e-99a9a8efb210.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3904-74ed-ae5e-99a9a8efb210#slide-8",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.6,
        "w": 0.65,
        "x": 0.15,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Line chart showing multiple forecast curves over time",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "7587a92d-9bbf-4f1d-9c2d-fcf6fce3669e",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.4,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.95
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "SOURCE: Oil & Gas UK 2012 Economic Reports and 2015 Activity Survey",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "source-note",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "3e46763a-460a-4be4-a649-5a573f8ff0ee",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.08,
        "w": 0.6,
        "x": 0.15,
        "y": 0.12
      },
      "kind": "subtitle",
      "text": "Growth in operating cost forecast from UKCS operators\nGBP billions",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "subtitle",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "10aa66f8-a932-4dd1-878d-cd07ec6aa3c6",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.5,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.05
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "The increase was largely unforeseen",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "9ed8cb0a-6b0c-43f2-8a4e-fc321ea3c3ce",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Before-After-Bridge",
      "slug": "before-after-bridge",
      "agent": "Storyteller",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "7a6d3406-23f0-4cc6-b88c-8cc8e523f675",
      "evidence": "chart/line: Line chart showing multiple forecast curves over time",
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 10,
      "from": 6,
      "beatId": "565f4688-5621-46af-b8fb-6dc7c7e82d34",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
      "evidence": "The document identifies the problem and analyzes its causes",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Complication",
      "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 17,
      "from": 6,
      "name": "Logic Chain",
      "slug": "01-logic-chain",
      "bestFor": "Skeptical audiences, controversial recommendations, rigorous analysis",
      "matchId": "9ec0ab4b-196c-4a23-949d-db9c1649f335",
      "evidence": "The document opens a loop on the causes of the cost increase and closes it with a diagnosis",
      "position": 0,
      "objective": "What has been behind the large cost increase?",
      "structure": "Premise 1 (Accepted truth) -> Premise 2 (Observed fact) -> Therefore... (Inevitable conclusion)",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Build an airtight chain of logic where each premise leads inevitably to the conclusion"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}