{
  "docId": "019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34",
  "docSlug": "jarvis-mckinsey-forecasting-hca-healthcare-ebitda-growth",
  "documentTitle": "McKinsey Forecasting HCA Healthcare EBITDA Growth",
  "authorId": "mckinsey-forecasting-hca-healthcare-ebitda-growth",
  "authorName": null,
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": null,
  "aspectRatio": null,
  "pageNumber": 9,
  "pageCount": 80,
  "prevPage": 8,
  "nextPage": 10,
  "slideType": "financial_analysis",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "balanced",
  "nDataPoints": 25,
  "notes": "The table includes a 'Total cost/AA' row with calculated CAGR values. Footnotes clarify the definition of productivity (man hours/AA) and contract labor (percent of salary).",
  "elementsJson": null,
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34/9",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34#slide-9",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.95,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.85
      },
      "kind": "other",
      "text": "* Measured as man hours/AA. Negative growth desirable as it reflects increase in productivity\n** Not expressed as a growth rate but as a percent of salaried labor.\n*** Revised group model (June 29, 2006) projects labor cost excluding contract labor to grow at 5.0% CAGR (2006-2009)",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "disclaimer",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "1534c4dc-79ec-4240-b36b-a0620fdc2c25",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.96
      },
      "kind": "other",
      "text": "Source: Team analysis; Henry Company data",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "source-note",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a6db9529-002e-4ab6-87cd-8953ed9248f8",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.15,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.08
      },
      "kind": "subtitle",
      "text": "Percent CAGR",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "description",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "5c444842-ab67-4412-a06c-0bf67bb90dcd",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.75,
        "w": 0.9,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.12
      },
      "kind": "table",
      "text": "Table showing labor cost components (Wage, Productivity, Benefits, Contract labor) across historical and projected timeframes.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "data",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "101ae9b0-53f7-4298-9475-c232cd5161d5",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.04,
        "w": 0.6,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.04
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "FORECAST OF KEY LABOR COST PER AA COMPONENTS",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "1baa8831-7250-4a59-a3aa-f7bac9e01f93",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 10,
      "from": 5,
      "beatId": "8b7438ff-bc7f-4ecb-9a8b-f4690e2d54b4",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
      "evidence": "The document analyzes the complications and challenges facing HCA Healthcare, including changes in payor class mix and service line mix.",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Complication",
      "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 20,
      "from": 5,
      "name": "Pattern Hunter",
      "slug": "02-pattern-hunter",
      "bestFor": "Time-pressed audiences, building consensus, when data is strong",
      "matchId": "32558b28-b5d8-46bf-8228-fffd66b3c446",
      "evidence": "The document analyzes patterns in HCA Healthcare's financials and industry trends, including changes in payor class mix and service line mix.",
      "position": 0,
      "objective": "Identify patterns in HCA Healthcare's financials and industry trends",
      "structure": "Evidence A -> Evidence B -> Evidence C -> Pattern/Conclusion",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Group multiple pieces of evidence that together point to a pattern or conclusion"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}