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  "docSlug": "jarvis-mckinsey-forecasting-hca-healthcare-ebitda-growth",
  "documentTitle": "McKinsey Forecasting HCA Healthcare EBITDA Growth",
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  "pageNumber": 52,
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  "notes": "The chart uses a line graph to illustrate historical data (2001-2005) and three projected scenarios (2006-2009). Callouts explain the assumptions behind the optimistic and pessimistic scenarios.",
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      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "What you have to believe: SP AA grows at Henry uninsured population growth rate and NR/AA grows at chargemaster; Uncollections % grows .5% less than base",
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      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "What you have to believe: SP AA and NR/AA grows slightly less than historical; Uncollections % grows .5% higher than base",
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      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Historical and projected PBD growth rates",
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      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: Henry company data; estimates from Henry forecasting group; team analysis",
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      "kind": "title",
      "text": "WE PROJECT PROVISION FOR BAD DEBT (PBD) TO GROW AT ~16.5 PERCENT",
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