{
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  "docSlug": "jarvis-mckinsey-forecasting-hca-healthcare-ebitda-growth",
  "documentTitle": "McKinsey Forecasting HCA Healthcare EBITDA Growth",
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  "notes": "Includes a waterfall-style bridge chart showing volume impact and a bulleted list of key takeaways.",
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        "h": 0.2,
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      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Represents 0.3% of inpatient surgery volume*",
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      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Variance in inpatient surgery admission 2004 vs. 2005, percent",
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      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Total Henry inpatient surgical admissions Thousands",
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      "kind": "list",
      "text": "The suspension of elective surgeries is the greatest driver of volume loss due to hurricanes. West Florida, which was hit in 2004 shows a strong surgery admission growth (3.0%), demonstrating a recovery from last year's hurricane decline. Assuming East Florida followed the national trend, Henry's surgical admission volume would increase by 0.3-0.5%***. Total revenue loss in a region that experiences a severe hurricane season is $14-18 million",
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      "kind": "other",
      "text": "* Inpatient surgery represents ~20% of total AA implying a total 0.06-0.1% decline in AA due to hurricane ** Assumes that East Florida's surgical admission declined at the same rate as the overall Henry market *** Some loss of ER and medical patients also likely Source: Henry internal data",
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      "kind": "title",
      "text": "HURRICANES HAVE MODEST IMPACT ON ANNUAL VOLUME",
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