{
  "docId": "019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34",
  "docSlug": "jarvis-mckinsey-forecasting-hca-healthcare-ebitda-growth",
  "documentTitle": "McKinsey Forecasting HCA Healthcare EBITDA Growth",
  "authorId": "mckinsey-forecasting-hca-healthcare-ebitda-growth",
  "authorName": null,
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": null,
  "aspectRatio": null,
  "pageNumber": 16,
  "pageCount": 80,
  "prevPage": 15,
  "nextPage": 17,
  "slideType": "data_table",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "balanced",
  "nDataPoints": 66,
  "notes": "The table uses a hierarchical structure to group revenue components and calculates a weighted average CAGR.",
  "elementsJson": null,
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34/16",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019f6b8f-3688-75f9-b14b-82f50c3e0c34#slide-16",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.08,
        "w": 0.9,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.88
      },
      "kind": "other",
      "text": "* Adjusts historical for reclassification of Managed Medicaid (net effect of dropping Medicaid from 7.2 to 3.0% growth and increasing commercial from 6.3 to 6.9%) ** See bad debt section for rationale *** No impact on NR/AA CAGR when self-pay accounts are excluded Source: Team analysis; Henry Company data",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "source-note",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "de3bde89-ad95-4dd5-a677-ccdd3fb4e474",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.15,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.08
      },
      "kind": "subtitle",
      "text": "Percent CAGR",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "description",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "7224e21f-babc-41a2-91c8-a9eea232b915",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.75,
        "w": 0.96,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.12
      },
      "kind": "table",
      "text": "Table containing historical and projected CAGR data for revenue components.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "data",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "1f9edf6e-ae9d-46c0-941a-0cf355bcac7f",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.04,
        "w": 0.6,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.03
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "FORECAST OF KEY NET REVENUE PER AA COMPONENTS",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0823b0b7-f913-40ca-a49d-58a0a77ea23e",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 20,
      "from": 11,
      "beatId": "026448c0-65be-478a-8b70-6435ff3c87fe",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Evidence & Proof",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-evidence-proof",
      "evidence": "The document provides evidence and proof to support the forecast, including data tables and financial analysis.",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Evidence",
      "parentBeatSlug": "evidence"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 20,
      "from": 5,
      "name": "Pattern Hunter",
      "slug": "02-pattern-hunter",
      "bestFor": "Time-pressed audiences, building consensus, when data is strong",
      "matchId": "32558b28-b5d8-46bf-8228-fffd66b3c446",
      "evidence": "The document analyzes patterns in HCA Healthcare's financials and industry trends, including changes in payor class mix and service line mix.",
      "position": 0,
      "objective": "Identify patterns in HCA Healthcare's financials and industry trends",
      "structure": "Evidence A -> Evidence B -> Evidence C -> Pattern/Conclusion",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Group multiple pieces of evidence that together point to a pattern or conclusion"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}