{
  "docId": "019dd923-622c-750b-8b9c-0d3bacbcba4d",
  "docSlug": "dd661d7cb833",
  "documentTitle": "Fannie Mae & Freddie Mac (FNMA/FMCC)",
  "authorId": "01_Pershing_Square",
  "authorName": "William Ackman",
  "documentKindSlug": "activist-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Activist deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "activist_investor",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Activist investor",
  "presentationDate": "2025-01-16 00:00:00",
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.2941177,
  "pageNumber": 23,
  "pageCount": 104,
  "prevPage": 22,
  "nextPage": 24,
  "slideType": "key_messages",
  "function": "summarize",
  "density": "balanced",
  "nDataPoints": 0,
  "notes": null,
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "callout_box",
    "bullet_list"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-622c-750b-8b9c-0d3bacbcba4d/23",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b9c-0d3bacbcba4d",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b9c-0d3bacbcba4d.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b9c-0d3bacbcba4d#slide-23",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.0079
      },
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Guarantees issued during an economic downturn have a lower probability of default, a longer time period to default, lower severity upon default, and greater persistency, which increases the overall quality of the guarantee portfolio and de-risks the business model",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a7f8e116-ae6b-4643-aa78-8f75cca3df33",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.35,
        "w": 0.87,
        "x": 0.09,
        "y": 0.0039
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Economic downturns usually result in a decline in housing prices and a decrease in interest rates\nLower housing prices result in reduced loan-to-replacement cost ratios\nLower interest rates result in a lower mortgage payment burden\nLower initial interest rates decrease the probability of future prepayments",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a1c83948-9a90-4b12-bc1c-81e0c33b0ea7",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.0019
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "As dominant participants in the market, the GSEs have historically retained access to capital as other participants have been forced to exit. This has allowed them to significantly expand their market share in economic downturns, when mortgage underwriting conditions are most favorable",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "b02bd2b9-f235-4376-8164-4ae38669d689",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.09
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Single-Family Guarantee Business: Low-Risk (Cont.)",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "48f6db43-f3a7-480f-ad89-487c82be39b4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "List presentation",
      "slug": "list-presentation",
      "agent": null,
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "ca25cdf1-0229-456a-835f-dedf28da72ab",
      "evidence": "list/bullet: Economic downturns usually result in a decline in housing prices and a decrease in interest rates",
      "confidence": 0.8
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [
    {
      "name": "causal-chain",
      "slug": null,
      "matchId": "8c74458f-ac47-4a44-834b-d9b441e78c36",
      "evidence": "The slide maps the causal relationship between economic downturns, market conditions, and portfolio risk reduction.",
      "confidence": 0.85
    }
  ],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 32,
      "from": 17,
      "beatId": "3556ad3c-7a20-485a-a935-4a3391498418",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
      "evidence": "The presentation analyzes the complications faced by Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac, including their capital structure and regulatory framework.",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Complication",
      "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}