{ "docId": "019dd923-622c-750b-8b9a-1cc056790523", "docSlug": "340e94a59fc0", "documentTitle": "IonQ Inc. (IONQ)", "authorId": "58_Scorpion_Capital", "authorName": "Scorpion Capital", "documentKindSlug": "activist-deck", "documentKindLabel": "Activist deck", "sourceTypeSlug": "short_seller", "sourceTypeLabel": "Short seller", "presentationDate": "2022-05-03 00:00:00", "orientation": "landscape", "aspectRatio": 1.2941177, "pageNumber": 16, "pageCount": 183, "prevPage": 15, "nextPage": 17, "slideType": "villain_critique", "function": "name_villain", "density": "overcrowded", "nDataPoints": 1, "notes": "Uses a quote from Mikhail Dyakov to frame the entire industry as a 'Ponzi scheme'.", "elementsJson": [ "paragraph", "callout_box", "footnote" ], "metadataConfidence": 1, "imagePath": null, "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-622c-750b-8b9a-1cc056790523/16", "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b9a-1cc056790523", "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b9a-1cc056790523.json", "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-622c-750b-8b9a-1cc056790523#slide-16", "components": [ { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.9, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.76 }, "kind": "callout", "text": "“I’m skeptical that these efforts will ever result in a practical quantum computer…Could we ever learn to control the more than 10^300 continuously variable parameters defining the quantum state of such a system? My answer is simple. No, never. I believe that, appearances to the contrary, the quantum computing fervor is nearing its end… All these problems, as well as a few others I’ve not mentioned here, raise serious doubts about the future of quantum computing”", "attrs": null, "subkind": "primary", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "18595fe9-25c8-4b9d-9cea-7202162b25bf", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": null, "kind": "callout", "text": "I’m skeptical that these efforts will ever result in a practical quantum computer...Could we ever learn to control the more than 10^300 continuously variable parameters defining the quantum state of such a system? My answer is simple. No, never.", "attrs": null, "subkind": null, "toolName": "Visual emphasis", "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis", "confidence": null, "componentId": "019dd952-f5d2-7501-bd79-88ef721621b0", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.9, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.08 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Many of these papers lay out the elephant in the room, the key scientific falsehood at the core of the “quantum Ponzi scheme”: decoherence and the mathematical impossibility of ever being able to correct for it.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "68490538-c4a8-4960-881e-22e7c18c6791", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.25, "w": 0.9, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.23 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Decoherence is the process by which quantum states – that is, the qubits - rapidly collapse because of noise, causing errors to spin out of control. Some theorists have envisioned a way out of this plight called “quantum error correction” that uses large numbers of qubits for error correction and others for computation. A famous physicist explains below that the scheme requires processing 10^300 variables: “to repeat, a useful quantum computer needs to process a set of continuous parameters that is larger than the number of subatomic particles in the observable universe.”", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "bec8c414-d3e1-403f-87be-2b1f6456d771", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": null, "kind": "quote", "text": "“to repeat, a useful quantum computer needs to process a set of continuous parameters that is larger than the number of subatomic particles in the observable universe.” — Mikhail Dyakov, a professor of physics", "attrs": null, "subkind": null, "toolName": "Authority citation", "toolSlug": "authority-citation", "confidence": null, "componentId": "019dd952-f5d2-7501-bd79-8ee11551138b", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.7, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.96 }, "kind": "source-note", "text": "Source: https://cslab.pepperdine.edu/warford/cosc425/The-Case-Against-Quantum-Computing.pdf; https://spectrum.ieee.org/the-case-against-quantum-computing", "attrs": { "numbered": true }, "subkind": null, "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "171a62bd-9cd0-4069-a010-883ba3a49d1f", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.03, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.53 }, "kind": "source-note", "text": "IEEE Spectrum article by Mikhail Dyakov, a professor of physics", "attrs": null, "subkind": null, "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "8e76bf4c-dacc-4bda-997f-4094887d25f8", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.1, "w": 0.6, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.58 }, "kind": "title", "text": "THE CASE AGAINST QUANTUM COMPUTING", "attrs": null, "subkind": "headline", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "b4d0b528-8476-471a-9140-d4b4a598021c", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null } ], "metrics": [], "tools": [], "frameworks": [ { "name": "antagonist-introduction", "slug": null, "matchId": "43169947-4222-4b0a-a1c9-4248509ec29f", "evidence": "Frames quantum computing as a 'quantum Ponzi scheme' and uses a physicist's quote to discredit the entire field.", "confidence": 0.9 } ], "arcBeats": [ { "to": 20, "from": 11, "beatId": "9387f8be-f19a-4f6a-b549-3a235273968a", "arcName": "Overcoming the Monster", "arcSlug": "overcoming-monster", "beatName": "The Problem with IonQ's Technology", "beatSlug": null, "evidence": "The deck introduces the problem with IonQ's technology, including its error rates and lack of commercial viability.", "position": 0, "confidence": 0.8, "parentBeatName": null, "parentBeatSlug": null } ], "loops": [], "imagePathAlt": null, "thumbSrc": null, "thumbSrcAlt": null, "locked": true }