{
  "docId": "019dd923-5eff-723e-9be7-574dba515967",
  "docSlug": "e3aed3cd6952deaf",
  "documentTitle": "2025 09 Investor Presentation",
  "authorId": "Lufthansa",
  "authorName": "Lufthansa Group",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.777,
  "pageNumber": 30,
  "pageCount": 44,
  "prevPage": 29,
  "nextPage": 31,
  "slideType": "financial_analysis",
  "function": "quantify_impact",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 45,
  "notes": "Includes a sensitivity matrix showing the impact of crude oil and jet crack prices on the mixed jet rate.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "data_table",
    "heatmap",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5eff-723e-9be7-574dba515967/30",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5eff-723e-9be7-574dba515967",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5eff-723e-9be7-574dba515967.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5eff-723e-9be7-574dba515967#slide-30",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.6,
        "w": 0.47,
        "x": 0.5,
        "y": 0.215
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Expected fuel price sensitivity after hedging (FY2025) matrix.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "heatmap",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "50da657e-15a6-435c-8b51-fe7ec5819665",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.55,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.85
      },
      "kind": "disclaimer",
      "text": "1) Passenger Airlines and Logistics including existing hedges and into plane cost and assuming average rate of 1.132 USD/EUR for FY2025. 2) Hegde ratio for remaining FY 2025 comprises 48% hedge on gasoil and 33% hedge on Brent. 3) Depicted fuel expenses do not include cost related to voluntary SAF. 4) Average 2025 Brent ICE Crude oil future in $/bbl as of reporting date: 67.25 $/bbl. 5) Average 2025 Jet Crack Future as of reporting date: 22.43 $/bbl.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "6845d9ef-ba32-4390-8434-e2f399c13dd4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Expected total fuel expense: EUR 7.16 bn",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-7323-76ab-8cf9-9caad85674de",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.6,
        "w": 0.44,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.215
      },
      "kind": "table",
      "text": "LHG fuel price exposure table showing hedge ratios, prices, volumes, and costs for Q3 and FY2025.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "data",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "f11a7a83-7d2c-4066-b963-42eb1732a820",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.94,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.05
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Expected fuel cost of EUR 7.2 bn decreased by another EUR 0.1 bn compared to April guidance of EUR 7.3 billion",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "177fd45e-07b7-4379-aaaf-97df0b00d9ac",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019debcf-aaad-754f-bc20-22afd1f5abac",
      "evidence": "Title quantifies the EUR 0.1bn fuel-cost improvement.",
      "confidence": 90
    },
    {
      "name": "Pre-attentive Attributes",
      "slug": "pre-attentive-attributes",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019debcf-aacc-738b-9cce-2e107400f61e",
      "evidence": "Green-shaded sensitivity matrix uses colour to encode magnitude.",
      "confidence": 80
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [
    {
      "name": "Heatmap matrix",
      "slug": null,
      "matchId": "019debcf-acf2-71a2-977f-9d3b2b9e8950",
      "evidence": "Crude oil x jet crack price heatmap with colour gradient.",
      "confidence": 90
    },
    {
      "name": "Scenario Analysis",
      "slug": null,
      "matchId": "019debcf-ad11-75ab-8861-d9e71aadc0d6",
      "evidence": "Sensitivity grid varies two assumptions around base case.",
      "confidence": 75
    }
  ],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 31,
      "from": 29,
      "beatId": "019debcf-a2e2-713c-9bc2-cab3d7d769f8",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Impact & Next Steps",
      "beatSlug": null,
      "evidence": "H2 capacity outlook, fuel sensitivity, FY2025 guidance confirmed.",
      "position": 5,
      "confidence": 70,
      "parentBeatName": null,
      "parentBeatSlug": null
    },
    {
      "to": 31,
      "from": 25,
      "beatId": "019debcf-a361-779e-a296-df6e8859d028",
      "arcName": "The Triple Take",
      "arcSlug": "triple-take",
      "beatName": "The Action (Now What)",
      "beatSlug": null,
      "evidence": "Operational measures and FY25 guidance.",
      "position": 3,
      "confidence": 55,
      "parentBeatName": null,
      "parentBeatSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 31,
      "from": 29,
      "name": "Scenario Fork",
      "slug": "35-scenario-fork",
      "bestFor": "Strategic planning, risk analysis, board presentations",
      "matchId": "019debcf-a3e1-742a-b4ea-2f640fa8da3d",
      "evidence": "p29 H2 capacity flexibility, p30 fuel sensitivity matrix, p31 explicit Headwinds vs Tailwinds columns.",
      "position": 4,
      "objective": "Frame the FY25 outlook against headwinds, tailwinds and fuel sensitivity",
      "structure": "The Decision Point -> Scenario A (If X) -> Scenario B (If Y) -> Scenario C (If Z) -> Recommendation",
      "confidence": 70,
      "description": "Present multiple futures based on different assumptions or decisions"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}