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  "notes": "Includes specific quantitative forecasts for GDP, inflation, unemployment, and FX rates.",
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      "text": "Sources: GDP, policy rates, high yield spreads, and inflation assumptions as of May 2, 2024, from Moody's Investors Service. Unemployment and default rate assumptions sourced from Moody's Investors Service \"March 2024 Default Report\", published April 12, 2024.",
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      "text": "Real GDP: U.S. 1.5-2.5%, Euro area 0.5-1.5%, Global 2.0-3.0%; Global policy rates; U.S. high yield spreads; U.S./Euro inflation; U.S. unemployment; Global high yield default rate; FX rates.",
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      "text": "MIS: Macroeconomic Assumptions Underpinning our Full Year 2024 Outlook",
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