{
  "docId": "019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-9778d021927e",
  "docSlug": "1b62ce25d332000c",
  "documentTitle": "2025 Benedict Evans 2025 Spring AI eats the world",
  "authorId": "BenedictEvans",
  "authorName": "Benedict Evans",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "independent_analyst",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Independent analyst",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 9,
  "pageCount": 59,
  "prevPage": 8,
  "nextPage": 10,
  "slideType": "quote_slide",
  "function": "summarize",
  "density": "balanced",
  "nDataPoints": 0,
  "notes": "The slide uses a split-screen layout to present two distinct quotes.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "quote_block"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-9778d021927e/9",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-9778d021927e",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-9778d021927e.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-9778d021927e#slide-9",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.55,
        "y": 0.55
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Larry Tesler, 1970",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "8fe5e4b5-3449-4f63-b3c4-e85256669b2f",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.65
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Marvin Minsky, 1970",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "ce83f7d7-c593-48ab-86ea-951a055e44a3",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.4,
        "x": 0.55,
        "y": 0.35
      },
      "kind": "quote",
      "text": "AI is whatever machines can't do yet",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "pull-quote",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "22a9ca14-ed03-4e8b-a1ef-eb747308fd55",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.3,
        "w": 0.4,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "quote",
      "text": "In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "pull-quote",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "e2e1749b-e30e-4122-b45e-98b5d1f93b05",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "quote",
      "text": "In from three to eight years we will have a machine with the general intelligence of an average human being (Marvin Minsky, 1970); AI is whatever machines can't do yet (Larry Tesler, 1970)",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Authority citation",
      "toolSlug": "authority-citation",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-47c7-738e-b71c-ffc2d0693de2",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Authority Bias",
      "slug": "authority-bias",
      "agent": "Storyteller",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1b83-7130-9344-3eaa4751437b",
      "evidence": "Long-quoted forecast lent authority by attribution.",
      "confidence": 70
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 25,
      "from": 1,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-07a7-7579-bd65-661b11daaab4",
      "arcName": "The Triple Take",
      "arcSlug": "triple-take",
      "beatName": "The Facts (What)",
      "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-facts-what",
      "evidence": "Defines AI then 'Model building' section lays out commodity model wars.",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 78,
      "parentBeatName": "Setup",
      "parentBeatSlug": "setup"
    },
    {
      "to": 10,
      "from": 8,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-07a7-7579-bd65-7560cea54973",
      "arcName": "The Sparkline",
      "arcSlug": "sparkline",
      "beatName": "What Could Be",
      "beatSlug": "sparkline-what-could-be-2",
      "evidence": "AGI race / scaling could make this 'Everything'.",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 55,
      "parentBeatName": "Turn",
      "parentBeatSlug": "turn"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 10,
      "from": 2,
      "name": "Why Now",
      "slug": "15-why-now",
      "bestFor": "Sales pitches, fundraising, requesting immediate budget approval",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-08f8-7619-ac2e-d538611880b8",
      "evidence": "Trends (AI history) -> trigger (AGI race / scaling) -> window (next platform shift?) on p.6-7.",
      "position": 1,
      "objective": "Frame generative AI as the next 10-15 year platform shift",
      "structure": "The Context (Trends) -> The Trigger Event -> The Window of Opportunity",
      "confidence": 75,
      "description": "Create temporal urgency by proving that the window of opportunity is opening or closing"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}