{
  "docId": "019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-853951586965",
  "docSlug": "76ea6cc397533e35",
  "documentTitle": "2022 Benedict Evans 2022 The New Gatekeepers",
  "authorId": "BenedictEvans",
  "authorName": "Benedict Evans",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "independent_analyst",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Independent analyst",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 76,
  "pageCount": 103,
  "prevPage": 75,
  "nextPage": 77,
  "slideType": "problem_statement",
  "function": "frame_problem",
  "density": "balanced",
  "nDataPoints": 0,
  "notes": null,
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "paragraph"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-853951586965/76",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-853951586965",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-853951586965.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-853951586965#slide-76",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.2,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.64,
        "y": 0.38
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Is xR the next smartphone? The hardware will get better... But will we care, or is this just a subset of games consoles?",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0993f025-eb9c-48aa-aebc-800442d0441e",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.3,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.205,
        "y": 0.38
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Can blockchains be software? 'DeFi' - can you build financial applications with a blockchain? (This is what imploded in 2022) Can you build actual consumer-scale applications on a blockchain? Could it be ‘web 3’?",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "16f5b81d-883a-4272-b089-6edc84f5311c",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.59,
        "x": 0.205,
        "y": 0.12
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Nothing that’s happened in the last 12 months gives us answers either way",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "8b85e35b-591f-4d2f-b23b-1d7d3326d998",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.59,
        "x": 0.205,
        "y": 0.05
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "But what are the questions that matter?",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "c2f12acb-ce29-4b7d-913a-a3013903bcef",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Problem Statement Canvas",
      "slug": "problem-statement-canvas",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "a569fcb1-5a7e-46e7-8914-db3a8c4a900f",
      "evidence": "Can blockchains be software? 'DeFi' - can you build financial applications with a blockchain?",
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 100,
      "from": 70,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-07a7-7579-bd65-14aeb33da1bd",
      "arcName": "The Triple Take",
      "arcSlug": "triple-take",
      "beatName": "The Action (Now What)",
      "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-action-now-what",
      "evidence": "'Dreams for the Future' p70; metaverse, generative AI bets, JTBD questions",
      "position": 3,
      "confidence": 82,
      "parentBeatName": "Resolution",
      "parentBeatSlug": "resolution"
    },
    {
      "to": 100,
      "from": 70,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-07a7-7579-bd65-243a2d74e603",
      "arcName": "The Mountain",
      "arcSlug": "mountain",
      "beatName": "Resolution",
      "beatSlug": "mountain-resolution",
      "evidence": "future bets, generative AI, optimism close p100",
      "position": 4,
      "confidence": 60,
      "parentBeatName": "Resolution",
      "parentBeatSlug": "resolution"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 77,
      "from": 71,
      "name": "Maturity Curve",
      "slug": "36-maturity-curve",
      "bestFor": "Digital transformation, capability building, benchmarking",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-08f8-7619-ac2e-912ed90fbd12",
      "evidence": "p71 'Three steps to the future', p73 '2022 vs 2023 hype cycle turns', p77 'future can take a long time'",
      "position": 9,
      "objective": "Position crypto/metaverse against the hype-cycle curve",
      "structure": "Current Maturity Level -> The Gap to Next Level -> Required Capabilities -> The Roadmap",
      "confidence": 65,
      "description": "Show where you are on a progression and what it takes to reach the next level"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}