{
  "docId": "019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-0d0f98caffe1",
  "docSlug": "5df6bd1b0447b5f6",
  "documentTitle": "2025 Air Street Capital The State of AI Report 2025",
  "authorId": "AirStreetCapital",
  "authorName": "Air Street Capital",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "vc_research",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "VC research",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.777,
  "pageNumber": 236,
  "pageCount": 313,
  "prevPage": 235,
  "nextPage": 237,
  "slideType": "industry_trends",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "overcrowded",
  "nDataPoints": 2,
  "notes": "The slide uses two line charts to show the decline in headcount for younger age brackets (22-25 and 26-30) in customer service and software development.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "bullet_list",
    "line_chart"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-0d0f98caffe1/236",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-0d0f98caffe1",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-0d0f98caffe1.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5d-0d0f98caffe1#slide-236",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Jobs for more experienced workers has remained stable/grown, even in highly AI-exposed domains.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-47c3-7407-8d05-8ca253553439",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.55,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.46,
        "y": 0.22
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Employee headcount among customer service representatives, by age",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "254c3b82-f8fa-417a-9583-643bd5f4fda4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.55,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.72,
        "y": 0.22
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Employee headcount among software developers, by age",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "27ebcbf6-ffe0-4352-86b8-110ebb06621d",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.33
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Although total employment has grown, the hiring of younger workers has stagnated since late 2022. Despite strong AI adoption, this group struggles to find a foothold in the job market. On this trajectory, AI fluency may not guarantee favorable economic outcomes.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "1b3f57e4-efdd-4115-b39a-11a568cc5879",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.18,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.57
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Jobs for more experienced workers has remained stable/grown, even in highly AI-exposed domains. This suggests workers who have acquired more tacit knowledge are more likely to be augmented by modern AI models. But without on-the-job experience, workers will struggle to gain tacit knowledge.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "837594fa-10d1-42fa-b91c-9e544bfb9213",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.08,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.48
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Meanwhile, law school applications spiked 21% in 2024, suggesting graduates are hedging against uncertain career prospects.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "d16bd025-fc09-4d99-ba5c-7963500950ee",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.22
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Entry-level hiring is declining across software and customer support - roles that are highly exposed to AI automation. These trends appear to be independent of macro factors like inflation or pandemic recovery.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "e049b46c-b39e-478c-b06a-14dd38ad8ee7",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Employee headcount: -21%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-47c3-7407-8d05-90d0b21bed2c",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.5,
        "x": 0.46,
        "y": 0.8
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: Brynjolfsson, Chandar and Chen",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "9ad4c5bb-a12b-4600-ac39-16fe6748bdd4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.8,
        "x": 0.03,
        "y": 0.14
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "AI squeezes the entry-level job market while experienced workers are safe...for now",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "57448def-0327-4f58-ae6d-0ada05406c07",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Before-After-Bridge",
      "slug": "before-after-bridge",
      "agent": "Storyteller",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "8298699e-bfaa-41d4-95e9-36b6e096f1b4",
      "evidence": "Jobs for more experienced workers has remained stable/grown, even in highly AI-exposed domains.",
      "confidence": 0.6
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 282,
      "from": 190,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0682-776c-8e35-a256fe16ea9c",
      "arcName": "The Triple Take",
      "arcSlug": "triple-take",
      "beatName": "The Implications (So What)",
      "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-implications-so-what",
      "evidence": "Sections 3-4 frame political and safety consequences of the technical/industry trends.",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 70,
      "parentBeatName": "Reflection",
      "parentBeatSlug": "reflection"
    },
    {
      "to": 282,
      "from": 190,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0682-776c-8e35-b713af60bf88",
      "arcName": "The Onion",
      "arcSlug": "onion",
      "beatName": "Core Insight",
      "beatSlug": "onion-core-insight",
      "evidence": "Politics and Safety reveal the structural risks at the core.",
      "position": 4,
      "confidence": 45,
      "parentBeatName": "Turn",
      "parentBeatSlug": "turn"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}