{
  "docId": "019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5c-fd5012384ae3",
  "docSlug": "bf350dd574c19997",
  "documentTitle": "2021 Air Street Capital The State of AI Report 2021",
  "authorId": "AirStreetCapital",
  "authorName": "Air Street Capital",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "vc_research",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "VC research",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.777,
  "pageNumber": 78,
  "pageCount": 188,
  "prevPage": 77,
  "nextPage": 79,
  "slideType": "industry_trends",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 6,
  "notes": "The chart uses a dual-line approach to distinguish between actual historical data and future projections.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "bullet_list",
    "line_chart",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5c-fd5012384ae3/78",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5c-fd5012384ae3",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5c-fd5012384ae3.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd5c-fd5012384ae3#slide-78",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "China is projected to reach nearly double the number of STEM PhD students in the US by 2025.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-47c3-7407-8d2c-eaf00fe77a02",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.5,
        "w": 0.5,
        "x": 0.45,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Line chart showing STEM PhD graduates for China (Total), US (Total), and US (Domestic) from 2000 to 2025.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "af0dea0f-70e5-4afd-ad01-caf6cdae5b6b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.4,
        "w": 0.4,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.28
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Between 2003 and 2007, when China surpassed the number of US STEM PhD graduates, more than 1,300 new PhD programs were built from scratch. Between 2012 and 2021, the Chinese government doubled its investment in higher education, resulting in an increase of 40% in the number of Chinese PhD graduates. The projected numbers in the right plot are based on current enrollment patterns and are all but certain to be realised.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "543a6918-a1ab-47d1-9720-2e71a184977b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Annual STEM PhD Graduates: 77,179",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-47c3-7407-8d2c-ef3006bc6baa",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.45,
        "x": 0.45,
        "y": 0.8
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: National Center for Education Statistics' Integrated Postsecondary Education Data System (IPEDS) for U.S. data, Ministry of Education for Chinese data (see Appendix A).",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "4c1011c8-97ca-404a-bc46-496b3eb53aa1",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.04,
        "w": 0.4,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.21
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "China is projected to reach nearly double the number of STEM PhD students in the US by 2025.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "action-title",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "51715467-bcae-4b4e-96ca-8cc819d7abef",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.04,
        "w": 0.4,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.14
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "China is outpacing the US in STEM PhD growth...",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "1fea4e70-c85e-4963-b9e9-29de4707d41a",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-0fd5-7148-8ed1-50ea6236acc9",
      "evidence": "Title 'China is outpacing the US in STEM PhD growth…' is the so-what.",
      "confidence": 82
    },
    {
      "name": "Chart Selection Guide",
      "slug": "chart-selection-guide",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "74125846-a9c0-4c7a-af9e-8a163fe6bc3a",
      "evidence": "chart/line: Line chart showing STEM PhD graduates for China (Total), US (Total), and US (Domestic) from 2000 to 2025.",
      "confidence": 0.8
    },
    {
      "name": "Concrete Language",
      "slug": "concrete-language",
      "agent": "Storyteller",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-0fd5-7148-8ed1-55d0a7e4e171",
      "evidence": "77,179 STEM PhDs cited; 2025 projection.",
      "confidence": 78
    },
    {
      "name": "Quantification",
      "slug": "quantification",
      "agent": null,
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "d21ecf9b-96c6-458b-b6e5-d9299dc1734a",
      "evidence": "China is projected to reach nearly double the number of STEM PhD students in the US by 2025.",
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 152,
      "from": 5,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0682-776c-8e35-0affbadec38e",
      "arcName": "The Triple Take",
      "arcSlug": "triple-take",
      "beatName": "The Facts (What)",
      "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-facts-what",
      "evidence": "Definitions p.5-6, Exec Summary p.7, then Sections 1-3 catalog evidence.",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 78,
      "parentBeatName": "Setup",
      "parentBeatSlug": "setup"
    },
    {
      "to": 152,
      "from": 10,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0682-776c-8e35-1b3ee3a1c012",
      "arcName": "The Mountain",
      "arcSlug": "mountain",
      "beatName": "Rising Action",
      "beatSlug": "mountain-rising-action",
      "evidence": "Three sections accumulating evidence of accelerating progress.",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 55,
      "parentBeatName": "Development",
      "parentBeatSlug": "development"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 80,
      "from": 76,
      "name": "Pattern Hunter",
      "slug": "02-pattern-hunter",
      "bestFor": "Time-pressed audiences, building consensus, when data is strong",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-07fe-70ce-8d3d-66f0e70a9a37",
      "evidence": "Five evidence slides on PhD supply, top institutions, talent flows from China.",
      "position": 10,
      "objective": "Establish China's rise in AI talent and research",
      "structure": "Evidence A -> Evidence B -> Evidence C -> Pattern/Conclusion",
      "confidence": 80,
      "description": "Group multiple pieces of evidence that together point to a pattern or conclusion"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}