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  "notes": "The slide compares two sets of macroeconomic assumptions: one for the 'Plan' (dated Feb 2025) and one for 'ECL calculation' (dated March 2025).",
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      "text": "Expected Credit Loss (ECL) | YoY percentage change in real annual GDP | Q424 unemployment rate, 16+ basis points | Year-end central bank policy rates | GBP and USD 5Y OIS Swap rates | Year end GBP 5-year swap rate | YoY percentage change in annual average CPI | US Fed Funds Rate OIS Zero 5 Year Point | 2024 Markets wallet based on internal Barclays estimates and 2024 banking wallet based on Dealogic as at 31 December 2024 | Average UK unemployment rate 16-year+ | Average central bank policy rate | Change in year-end UK HPI = Halifax HPI Meth2 All Houses, All Buyers index | Average US civilian unemployment rate 16-year+ | Change in year-end US HPI = FHFA House Price Index, relative to prior year end | Note: Group plan based on an average USD/GBP FX rate of 1.31 | Forward looking metrics based on market consensus and are factored into the internal assumptions",
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