{
  "docId": "019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd59-ab6c30a76564",
  "docSlug": "4ef4911b09fc45a1",
  "documentTitle": "Global gas outlook to 2050",
  "authorId": "McKinsey",
  "authorName": "McKinsey",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.414,
  "pageNumber": 15,
  "pageCount": 26,
  "prevPage": 14,
  "nextPage": 16,
  "slideType": "scenario_analysis",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "overcrowded",
  "nDataPoints": 32,
  "notes": "The slide uses a dual-axis chart layout comparing USA and Australia across two energy transition scenarios.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "bar_chart_stacked",
    "paragraph",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 0.9,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd59-ab6c30a76564/15",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd59-ab6c30a76564",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd59-ab6c30a76564.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5e88-73ef-bd59-ab6c30a76564#slide-15",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "The cost of power generation over time tends to decline in future power systems; however, delivery costs (T&D) per MWh is projected to grow from ~40% in the US to 60-70% of costs by 2050, with a similar outlook in Australia.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-2e35-763d-8375-2c5dc863b788",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.54,
        "w": 0.63,
        "x": 0.047,
        "y": 0.295
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Average system cost of electricity, 2021 $/MWh for USA and Australia under Fading Momentum and Further Acceleration scenarios",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bar-stacked",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "bd012264-f222-42e5-bc16-c5bc1961aa69",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Average system cost of electricity: 60-70%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-2e35-763d-8375-300d73ee5381",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.11,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.701,
        "y": 0.71
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "System design choices have a large impact on total costs, including factors such as undergrounding for resiliency, grid modernization to support DERs, and siting of heavy industrial loads (eg, hydrogen or datacenter clusters).",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "118fd2c1-de7b-41bd-8c67-1733bf99dfd3",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.11,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.701,
        "y": 0.295
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "The cost of power generation over time tends to decline in future power systems; however, delivery costs (T&D) per MWh is projected to grow from ~40% in the US to 60–70% of costs by 2050, with a similar outlook in Australia.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "25aa3ba4-1528-4599-9e65-16cd68d84215",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.26,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.701,
        "y": 0.425
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Larger T&D investments in faster transition scenarios are partially offset by a higher load in a more electrified economy, but not entirely. Faster transition scenarios' advantage in generation cost reflects the more rapid cost declines for renewables...",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "66a98e9d-6297-488c-9b1f-cf67549b3acb",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.047,
        "y": 0.88
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: McKinsey Energy Solutions' Global Energy Perspective 2023",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "source-note",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "125b3072-8f33-46dd-80b8-5adad39e0c08",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.14,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.047,
        "y": 0.065
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "The share of grid cost in total average delivered power costs to customers is expected to increase across scenarios and regions",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "ff04f654-00a4-48be-b108-5765774800e3",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.8,
        "x": 0.047,
        "y": 0.225
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Delivery costs per MWh are projected to increase to 60–70% of costs by 2050 in the US and Australia",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "subtitle",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "6a4d3a7e-d57e-4c1b-9f49-b217d7f0f160",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Scenario Analysis",
      "slug": "scenario-analysis",
      "agent": null,
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "20da707c-2419-449a-afab-ff7168b18348",
      "evidence": "title: The share of grid cost in total average delivered power costs to customers is expected to increase across scenarios and regions",
      "confidence": 0.9
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 15,
      "from": 6,
      "beatId": "e78e878e-0c23-4950-be0b-1fb7cd323dc0",
      "arcName": "The Sparkline",
      "arcSlug": "sparkline",
      "beatName": "Future Trends",
      "beatSlug": "sparkline-what-could-be-2",
      "evidence": "The document then highlights key trends and projections for the energy sector, including growing demand for low-carbon technologies and declining fossil fuel demand.",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Turn",
      "parentBeatSlug": "turn"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}