{
  "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-d5b968a97aed",
  "docSlug": "c5d9aae4a46e4215",
  "documentTitle": "Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030: Megatrend 1 People &amp; Society",
  "authorId": "RolandBerger",
  "authorName": "Roland Berger",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 25,
  "pageCount": 75,
  "prevPage": 24,
  "nextPage": 26,
  "slideType": "geographic_map",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 42,
  "notes": "The slide uses a map as a background for bar charts representing migration flows by region.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "map",
    "bar_chart_grouped",
    "callout_box"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-d5b968a97aed/25",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-d5b968a97aed",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-d5b968a97aed.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-d5b968a97aed#slide-25",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Migration pressures build up from Africa and the Middle East towards Europe and North America. This is largely caused by a population boom in Sub-Saharan Africa, where the population is estimated to increase by 1 billion between 2020 and 2050, generating out-of-region migration pressure of 31 million individuals.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-3bec-75b0-b8c4-64b87c3a77fd",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.7,
        "w": 0.6,
        "x": 0.16,
        "y": 0.18
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Change in migrant pressures between 2020 and 2050, individuals [m]",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bar-grouped",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0c18de9f-d8e3-46ba-b667-7a4af72eb119",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.7,
        "w": 0.2,
        "x": 0.78,
        "y": 0.18
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "In the IMF's baseline scenario, the migrant share of the global population is broadly constant at just over 3%. Migration pressures build up from Africa and the Middle East towards Europe and North America. A growing population in Latin America and the Caribbean exerts continuing pressure on immigration to North America.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "16c3d787-117b-4570-8b46-f1a12fc8a6b6",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Migrant pressure (individuals in millions): 31 million",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd952-3bec-75b0-b8c4-6b563a12d8e1",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.16,
        "y": 0.97
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: IMF; International Organization for Migration; Roland Berger",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "7799cf5a-4773-4ee9-9f1e-b15343a48519",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.8,
        "x": 0.16,
        "y": 0.05
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "To 2050, patterns of out-of-region migration pressures towards Europe & Central Asia and North America continue, mainly from Africa & Middle East",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "22268174-d811-4e6a-91dd-e46b8642864b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Scenario Analysis",
      "slug": "scenario-analysis",
      "agent": null,
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "f2326a48-0af5-49f0-bf1e-63c2dd7dec9d",
      "evidence": "Migration pressures build up from Africa and the Middle East towards Europe and North America.",
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 30,
      "from": 21,
      "beatId": "84ab553d-f6de-408f-8a25-cf5bc3aaaf7f",
      "arcName": "The Sparkline",
      "arcSlug": "sparkline",
      "beatName": "Diagnosis",
      "beatSlug": null,
      "evidence": "The document analyzes the implications of these trends and identifies key challenges and opportunities.",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": null,
      "parentBeatSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "loops": [],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}