{
  "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-858853f99ee2",
  "docSlug": "47d30724c5205a84",
  "documentTitle": "Facts, scenarios, and actions for leaders Publication #3 with a focus on Emerging Stronger from the Crisis",
  "authorId": "BCG",
  "authorName": "BCG",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 23,
  "pageCount": 45,
  "prevPage": 22,
  "nextPage": 24,
  "slideType": "data_table",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 25,
  "notes": "The slide uses a range-based visualization to show forecast uncertainty across multiple financial institutions.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "data_table",
    "other"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-858853f99ee2/23",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-858853f99ee2",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-858853f99ee2.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-858853f99ee2#slide-23",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.6,
        "w": 0.65,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "GDP growth forecast vs. baseline",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bar-horizontal",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "e0a7059e-483e-46d5-9c09-7e88098490d7",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.08,
        "w": 0.9,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.9
      },
      "kind": "disclaimer",
      "text": "Note: As of reports dated 31 March 2020 to 22 April 2020, YoY forecasts; Last week's forecast based on forecast of IMF and same banks 1. Range calculated with 25th & 75th percentile values of forecast range; 2. Range from forecasts (where available) of International Monetary Fond, JP Morgan Chase; Morgan Stanley; Bank of America; Fitch Solutions; Credit Suisse; Danske Bank; ING Group; HSBC; Source: Bloomberg, IMF, BCG analysis",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "03d5ca58-d5fd-4b60-b4e8-c908ad218763",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.6,
        "x": 0.25,
        "y": 0.95
      },
      "kind": "legend",
      "text": "Forecast (IMF Apr 2020), Baseline (IMF Jan 2020), Forecast range (IMF & Banks), Last week's forecast range",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "92246eb7-d668-43fe-8299-1e5996e769fc",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "GDP growth: -5.9%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-fefb-728e-ad93-380d446adf4f",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.6,
        "w": 0.2,
        "x": 0.75,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "table",
      "text": "GDP level forecast EOY 2021 vs. EOY 2019",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "data",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "dfe8ef98-d92d-482a-a6ab-77511fa98c20",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.65,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.05
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Economic forecasts point to severe downturn in 2020—global rebound to pre-COVID levels not expected before 2021",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "366702ff-000f-4233-af74-d07baa893c49",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-1321-706c-9a63-ff6189357341",
      "evidence": "Title: 'global rebound to pre-COVID levels not expected before 2021'.",
      "confidence": 85
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 29,
      "from": 16,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87db-cd17c588cf69",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Solution & Approach",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-solution-approach",
      "evidence": "Scenarios, 5 questions, dynamic cockpit, industry examples for navigation.",
      "position": 3,
      "confidence": 88,
      "parentBeatName": "Turn",
      "parentBeatSlug": "turn"
    },
    {
      "to": 29,
      "from": 16,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87db-dd23437b36f3",
      "arcName": "The Triple Take",
      "arcSlug": "triple-take",
      "beatName": "The Implications (So What)",
      "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-implications-so-what",
      "evidence": "Economic scenarios and dynamic cockpit show implications.",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 60,
      "parentBeatName": "Reflection",
      "parentBeatSlug": "reflection"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 25,
      "from": 23,
      "name": "So What Cascade",
      "slug": "41-so-what-cascade",
      "bestFor": "Data presentations, executive summaries, driving to recommendations",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-088b-72c8-b7e3-c8efe93b0bb5",
      "evidence": "Forecast (p.23) -> TSR by sector (p.24) -> credit risk (p.25).",
      "position": 5,
      "objective": "Cascade economic data into sector- and credit-level implications",
      "structure": "The Data -> So What? (Insight 1) -> So What? (Insight 2) -> So What? (The Action)",
      "confidence": 70,
      "description": "Chain insights together, each answering 'so what?' until you reach the actionable conclusion"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}