{
  "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b",
  "docSlug": "5d146414b5cc38c9",
  "documentTitle": "Vaccines &amp; Therapeutics Outlook Part I: Timelines and Success Factors",
  "authorId": "BCG",
  "authorName": "BCG",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 8,
  "pageCount": 34,
  "prevPage": 7,
  "nextPage": 9,
  "slideType": "industry_trends",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 11,
  "notes": "Includes cumulative global metrics and month-on-month growth percentages.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "area_chart",
    "line_chart",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b/8",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b#slide-8",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.6,
        "w": 0.55,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Daily new cases (7-day rolling average) by region",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "area-stacked",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "ee8c2499-aa11-45a6-8476-b0b87ada7830",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.6,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.65,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Daily new cases per million (7-day rolling average) for selected countries",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0e14225c-c0e8-4303-82da-96ee42f18991",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.9,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.93
      },
      "kind": "disclaimer",
      "text": "1. Oceania includes Australia, New Zealand, Papua New Guinea and surrounding island nations of the Pacific ocean; 2. Calculated as growth in monthly average of daily cases as compared to previous month; 3. Calculated as an average until 21 August; Source: Johns Hopkins CSSE; Our World in Data; BCG",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "60e0f4ae-6459-459e-bc32-6b6f5e6ca8d0",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.1,
        "y": 0.35
      },
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "23.0M Confirmed cases, 7.4M Active cases, 799k Fatalities",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "big-number",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "eba63c30-8557-4b37-89ce-a0f6850193ec",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Daily new cases: 23.0M",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-fefb-728e-ad97-b3b6de81a541",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.55,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.85
      },
      "kind": "table",
      "text": "Month on month growth of new cases: ~340%, ~20%, ~50%, ~60%, ~10%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "data",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "b178c5b9-5ff2-4061-b2a2-4c0baf20c5ce",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.8,
        "x": 0.05,
        "y": 0.05
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Epidemic progression | Early signs of slowing global case growth in August; however, some countries experiencing resurgence",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "6a70f387-11cf-4bb7-9c80-ba9d0dfe9f50",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Contrast Pairs",
      "slug": "contrast-pairs",
      "agent": "Storyteller",
      "layer": "loop",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-163f-72bd-8a08-e88e83d3abcf",
      "evidence": "Two side-by-side panels: aggregate slowing vs country-level resurgence.",
      "confidence": 80
    },
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-163f-72bd-8a08-e72f31f34fd5",
      "evidence": "Title states two-sided insight: slowing globally; resurgence in some countries.",
      "confidence": 88
    },
    {
      "name": "Annotation",
      "slug": "annotation",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-163f-72bd-8a08-ed9b076d13ae",
      "evidence": "MoM growth % labels and country labels annotate the curves.",
      "confidence": 75
    },
    {
      "name": "Chartjunk Elimination",
      "slug": "chartjunk-elimination",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "cd90b09b-b449-4e8c-bdec-d7b3cee1312a",
      "evidence": "The slide features a clear and concise line chart with a 7-day rolling average for selected countries.",
      "confidence": 0.7
    },
    {
      "name": "Color Strategy",
      "slug": "color-strategy",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-163f-72bd-8a08-f2791cee2de3",
      "evidence": "Stacked area uses regional color coding; right chart uses distinct line colors.",
      "confidence": 70
    },
    {
      "name": "Data-Ink Ratio",
      "slug": "data-ink-ratio",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "cdfefb83-09e4-4569-9d17-971246350744",
      "evidence": "The chart effectively uses data-ink to display information, with a clear and simple design.",
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 8,
      "from": 4,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87e3-a922da8e3c67",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Problem & Complication",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-problem-complication",
      "evidence": "Summary snapshot, leaders' open questions, epidemic resurgence",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 78,
      "parentBeatName": "Complication",
      "parentBeatSlug": "complication"
    },
    {
      "to": 14,
      "from": 4,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87e3-b9ab3fe072a9",
      "arcName": "The Triple Take",
      "arcSlug": "triple-take",
      "beatName": "The Facts (What)",
      "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-facts-what",
      "evidence": "Snapshot, epidemic curves, vaccine pipeline, timelines",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 65,
      "parentBeatName": "Setup",
      "parentBeatSlug": "setup"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 8,
      "from": 6,
      "name": "Tale Two Worlds",
      "slug": "04-tale-two-worlds",
      "bestFor": "Competitive analysis, benchmarking, case for change",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-088c-724c-b30f-b8d4a22f2eba",
      "evidence": "p8 explicitly contrasts slowing global growth with resurgence in select countries.",
      "position": 2,
      "objective": "Set up open questions and contrast global slowing vs country resurgence",
      "structure": "Current State -> Desired State / Benchmark -> The Gap & Implication",
      "confidence": 70,
      "description": "Show the gap between two states to drive urgency or highlight opportunity"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}