{ "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b", "docSlug": "5d146414b5cc38c9", "documentTitle": "Vaccines & Therapeutics Outlook Part I: Timelines and Success Factors", "authorId": "BCG", "authorName": "BCG", "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck", "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck", "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting", "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting", "presentationDate": null, "orientation": "landscape", "aspectRatio": 1.778, "pageNumber": 19, "pageCount": 34, "prevPage": 18, "nextPage": 20, "slideType": "scenario_analysis", "function": "present_solution", "density": "dense", "nDataPoints": 0, "notes": "The slide uses a 2x2 matrix to visualize scenarios, though the axes are not explicitly labeled, they represent the interplay of the listed factors.", "elementsJson": [ "headline_text", "bullet_list", "quadrant_chart", "footnote" ], "metadataConfidence": 0.95, "imagePath": null, "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b/19", "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b", "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b.json", "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-83187257f35b#slide-19", "components": [ { "bbox": null, "kind": "callout", "text": "Critical for public and business leaders to think through the scenario implications and prepare requisite action agenda", "attrs": null, "subkind": null, "toolName": "Visual emphasis", "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis", "confidence": null, "componentId": "019dd951-fefb-728e-ad96-267e7d9786a6", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.6, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.68, "y": 0.25 }, "kind": "chart", "text": "Potential scenarios matrix showing Scenario 1, 2, 3, and X.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "scatter", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "8d8a8d15-a73b-45ef-ae73-1ec546c988be", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.6, "w": 0.3, "x": 0.68, "y": 0.25 }, "kind": "framework", "text": "2x2 Matrix", "attrs": null, "subkind": "instance", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "ae60b0ec-423f-4a9d-be9b-8b0d4daf8ac9", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.4, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.18 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Several factors and their interplay to drive potential scenarios for the new reality", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "ad4a748b-01c4-4543-82a4-0985299f6922", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.5, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.9 }, "kind": "source-note", "text": "1. Manufacturing capacity and supply chains, transportation, cold storage, in-country delivery, etc; 2. NPI: Non-Pharmaceutical Interventions; 3 SC: Supply Chain. Source: BCG", "attrs": null, "subkind": null, "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "51a724cd-c2b6-4f35-8667-06d0be303d15", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.6, "w": 0.6, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.25 }, "kind": "table", "text": "Vaccine / therapeutic characteristics: Safety performance, Efficacy, Duration of immunity, Vaccine & therapeutic interplay. Supply chain readiness: Manufacturing & distribution. Societal response: NPI adoption rates, Consumer uptake.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "data", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "1cf76814-1b05-4eab-9dbe-222bee6b0702", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.8, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.05 }, "kind": "title", "text": "Multiple scenarios need to be considered as leaders think about their agenda", "attrs": null, "subkind": "headline", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "6c7e17d6-4175-456f-8917-89aae01e8a22", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null } ], "metrics": [], "tools": [ { "name": "Scenario planning", "slug": "scenario-planning", "agent": null, "layer": "block", "matchId": "a2e1590c-90a8-4615-a59b-6eecccc4761f", "evidence": "keyword-coverage: 2x2 matrix, scenario", "confidence": 0.2 }, { "name": "Three Pillars", "slug": "three-pillars", "agent": "Architect", "layer": "block", "matchId": "019dd95a-163f-72bd-8a09-6ce87eab76b4", "evidence": "Left side groups inputs into Vaccine characteristics / Supply chain / Societal response.", "confidence": 70 }, { "name": "2x2 matrix", "slug": "matrix-2x2", "agent": null, "layer": "slide", "matchId": "2c1b569b-ab74-4a80-a3b5-8f98e17ed167", "evidence": "chart/scatter: Potential scenarios matrix showing Scenario 1, 2, 3, and X.", "confidence": 0.7 }, { "name": "Action Titles", "slug": "action-titles", "agent": "Architect", "layer": "slide", "matchId": "019dd95a-163f-72bd-8a09-62e673b9655a", "evidence": "Title commands consideration of multiple scenarios.", "confidence": 82 }, { "name": "Visual Hierarchy", "slug": "visual-hierarchy", "agent": "Designer", "layer": "slide", "matchId": "019dd95a-163f-72bd-8a09-65149aca450f", "evidence": "2D scenario plot with Scenario X/1/2/3 positioned on adoption x efficacy axes.", "confidence": 70 }, { "name": "Von Restorff Effect", "slug": "von-restorff-effect", "agent": "Designer", "layer": "slide", "matchId": "019dd95a-163f-72bd-8a09-6b44158d33d2", "evidence": "Scenario X highlighted in solid green vs muted neutrals for the others.", "confidence": 72 } ], "frameworks": [ { "name": "2x2 Matrix", "slug": null, "matchId": "019dd95a-1d21-7467-a460-eac7d6e4a18e", "evidence": "Right panel plots scenarios on adoption x efficacy/SC ramp-up axes.", "confidence": 70 }, { "name": "matrix-2x2", "slug": null, "matchId": "363dc1ee-48c4-4fbe-919a-2ebb1cbbf617", "evidence": "The right side of the slide uses a 2x2 grid to plot scenarios.", "confidence": 0.9 } ], "arcBeats": [ { "to": 30, "from": 18, "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87e3-b0151d6fa4d2", "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit", "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit", "beatName": "Evidence & Proof", "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-evidence-proof", "evidence": "Therapeutics, scenario fork, de-averaged econ indicators by country/sector", "position": 4, "confidence": 78, "parentBeatName": "Evidence", "parentBeatSlug": "evidence" }, { "to": 19, "from": 15, "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87e3-bed022269a97", "arcName": "The Triple Take", "arcSlug": "triple-take", "beatName": "The Implications (So What)", "beatSlug": "triple-take-the-implications-so-what", "evidence": "Key success factors, efficacy priorities, scenarios", "position": 2, "confidence": 65, "parentBeatName": "Reflection", "parentBeatSlug": "reflection" } ], "loops": [ { "to": 19, "from": 17, "name": "Scenario Fork", "slug": "35-scenario-fork", "bestFor": "Strategic planning, risk analysis, board presentations", "matchId": "019dd95a-088c-724c-b30f-c66c12b1ec8c", "evidence": "p19 plots Scenario X/1/2/3 grid; p17-18 feed the inputs.", "position": 5, "objective": "Show manufacturing readiness, therapeutics, and scenario implications for leaders", "structure": "The Decision Point -> Scenario A (If X) -> Scenario B (If Y) -> Scenario C (If Z) -> Recommendation", "confidence": 72, "description": "Present multiple futures based on different assumptions or decisions" } ], "imagePathAlt": null, "thumbSrc": null, "thumbSrcAlt": null, "locked": true }