{ "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb", "docSlug": "78bb0ae4454c2778", "documentTitle": "Socio-economic case for deepening solar PV deployment in Nigeria", "authorId": "BCG", "authorName": "BCG", "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck", "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck", "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting", "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting", "presentationDate": null, "orientation": "landscape", "aspectRatio": 1.778, "pageNumber": 6, "pageCount": 87, "prevPage": 5, "nextPage": 7, "slideType": "appendix_methodology", "function": "establish_context", "density": "overcrowded", "nDataPoints": 8, "notes": "The slide is split into two distinct columns: Background & objectives (left) and Research methodology (right).", "elementsJson": [ "paragraph", "numbered_list" ], "metadataConfidence": 1, "imagePath": null, "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb/6", "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb", "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb.json", "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a169-4d41740ce8bb#slide-6", "components": [ { "bbox": null, "kind": "callout", "text": "To validate these benefits, All On and BCG commissioned a joint study to assess the proven developmental benefits realized from solar projects deployed to date in Nigeria.", "attrs": null, "subkind": null, "toolName": "Visual emphasis", "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis", "confidence": null, "componentId": "019dd951-fefb-728e-ad98-67d04a9c48c8", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.5, "w": 0.42, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.15 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Context: Access to electricity continues to be a challenge with ~50% of the Nigerian population without electricity access. At the current electrification rate, leveraging conventional power solutions alone, ~30% of Nigeria's population would still be without electricity by 2030; resulting in a failure to achieve govt. ambition of ensuring access to sustainable and reliable energy for all (in line with UN SDG 7). The Nigerian Government, through the Rural Electrification Agency (REA) has identified solar PV as a viable alternative to bridge this electricity access gap; with a target to deploy solar PV systems (mini-grids and standalone solar systems) to >10 million unelectrified households by 2030. Beyond addressing the direct electricity challenges, increased solar deployment in Nigeria has enabled several socio-economic benefits; scaling the deployment of solar could unlock greater socio-economic impacts. To validate these benefits, All On and BCG commissioned a joint study to assess the proven developmental benefits realized from solar projects deployed to date in Nigeria, and to present a case for deepening solar deployment in the country.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "25281e44-66ff-4a11-b9fe-4ff53410699f", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.25, "w": 0.42, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.7 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Scope: The scope of this study covers off grid solar projects in Nigeria and the report is structured into three part: 1. Assessment of the Solar PV market in Nigeria and its future trajectory. 2. Sizing of socio-economic benefits realised from solar deployment in Nigeria. 3. key challenges inhibiting solar penetration and potential interventions to address them.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "506d81e9-97e8-4dff-a50c-b462a4aa03ac", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.42, "x": 0.52, "y": 0.88 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "To access the comprehensive version of this study (including detailed explanation of methodologies used) you can download the file here", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "63368caa-5990-4aac-8f7e-0288391a93bb", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.7, "w": 0.42, "x": 0.52, "y": 0.15 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "Research approach: In this report, we assessed the benefits of solar across five (5) socio-economic dimensions - Health, Education, Food Security, Environment & Trade. Across each dimension, we assessed the benefits of solar at three (3) levels: 1. 1st order benefits – Direct electrification benefits from scaled deployment of off-grid solar PV in Nigeria. 2. 2nd order benefits – Direct benefits of enhanced electricity access, on relevant developmental indicators (including additional jobs created). 3. 3rd order benefits – Wider benefits of improved developmental indicators on the economic wellbeing of the Nigerian society (i.e., impact on Nigeria's GDP). Secondly, we defined the use cases (6 use cases) and indicators (7 indicators) for the dimensions selected, based on; relevance to Nigeria's context, potential scale for impact and availability of data to validate the impact of solar. Furthermore, we quantified the proven benefits of solar on developmental indicators, leveraging deployed solar PV projects across Nigeria for the identified use-cases. To estimate the benefits, the study leveraged in-depth interviews and surveys (N>100) and case studies (~3 per dimension). Finally, we extrapolated the benefits from deployed solar projects to articulate the broader benefits assuming a wider deployment of solar PV across the relevant use cases in Nigeria.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "65160c9f-8be8-48b4-aeb8-135e5df94257", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.35, "x": 0.05, "y": 0.08 }, "kind": "title", "text": "Background & objectives", "attrs": null, "subkind": "headline", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "148928eb-c83f-4deb-a81d-3e35b9ec43da", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.35, "x": 0.52, "y": 0.08 }, "kind": "title", "text": "Research methodology", "attrs": null, "subkind": "headline", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "620d797b-3c24-45b1-9071-e3ad77a462d9", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null } ], "metrics": [], "tools": [ { "name": "Audience Definition", "slug": "audience-definition", "agent": "Storyteller", "layer": "block", "matchId": "019dd95a-14f5-72a3-8b8c-d4a0a7cee76c", "evidence": "Methodology spells out scope and approach for stakeholder readers", "confidence": 60 }, { "name": "Action Titles", "slug": "action-titles", "agent": "Architect", "layer": "slide", "matchId": "019dd95a-14f5-72a3-8b8c-ce790ac88922", "evidence": "Two-column 'Background & objectives / Research methodology' frames why study exists", "confidence": 75 }, { "name": "Chunking", "slug": "chunking", "agent": "Architect", "layer": "slide", "matchId": "019dd95a-14f5-72a3-8b8c-d28ab463d0ca", "evidence": "Context/Scope and Research approach broken into numbered chunks", "confidence": 80 } ], "frameworks": [], "arcBeats": [ { "to": 10, "from": 3, "beatId": "019dd95a-0702-74a3-87e0-773d17d85158", "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit", "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit", "beatName": "Situation & Context", "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-situation-context", "evidence": "Exec summary, study background, methodology, market growth context", "position": 1, "confidence": 92, "parentBeatName": "Setup", "parentBeatSlug": "setup" } ], "loops": [], "imagePathAlt": null, "thumbSrc": null, "thumbSrcAlt": null, "locked": true }