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  "documentTitle": "Socio-economic case for deepening solar PV deployment in Nigeria",
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  "notes": "Uses a three-step methodology to project capacity based on CAGR benchmarks.",
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      "text": "Growth projection chart showing 2021 baseline of 180-200 MW expanding to 2.1 GW, 4.7 GW, and 8.1 GW by 2030 based on 30%, 42%, and 51% CAGR respectively.",
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      "kind": "disclaimer",
      "text": "Note: Off-grid PV capacity from 2010 to 2020 used to calculate CAGR for Thailand (51%) India (42%), Cameroon (30%). Computed 2030 value for all scenarios assuming a constant growth rate across the period. Source: Renewable Capacity Statistics 2021, IRENA; World Development Indicators (2021), World Bank; Consultant Analysis",
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      "text": "Three steps to project potential PV capacity: 1. Select relevant benchmarks for NG. 2. Identify archetypes from benchmarks to show range of growth outcomes. 3. Apply archetype potential to Nigeria to provide range of outcomes.",
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      "text": "GW capacity: 8.1 GW",
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      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Solar market in Nigeria can reach between ~5-8 GW by 2030 based on evidence from archetypes",
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      "evidence": "Nigeria 87% lower than peer average (p17) yields 5-8GW headroom by 2030 (p18)",
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