{ "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a168-c6556b394828", "docSlug": "7af5a6a7138e3970", "documentTitle": "Assessment of the expected economic impact of the Tempest Programme (2021-2050)", "authorId": "PwC", "authorName": "RUSI", "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck", "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck", "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting", "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting", "presentationDate": null, "orientation": "portrait", "aspectRatio": 0.707, "pageNumber": 30, "pageCount": 44, "prevPage": 29, "nextPage": 31, "slideType": "appendix_disclosure", "function": "summarize", "density": "dense", "nDataPoints": 0, "notes": "Contains footnotes 63, 64, and 65.", "elementsJson": [ "paragraph", "footnote" ], "metadataConfidence": 1, "imagePath": null, "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a168-c6556b394828/30", "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a168-c6556b394828", "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a168-c6556b394828.json", "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a168-c6556b394828#slide-30", "components": [ { "bbox": { "h": 0.15, "w": 0.744, "x": 0.128, "y": 0.785 }, "kind": "other", "text": "63. Gareth Jennings, 'Sweden Firms Up FCAS Partnership with UK, but No Commitment to Tempest', Janes, 20 July 2020, , accessed 21 September 2022.\n64. Saab, 'Saab Opens a Centre in the UK for Future Combat Air', press release, 20 July 2020, , accessed 21 September 2022.\n65. BAE Systems spokesperson's comment during a closed-door roundtable discussion with subject-matter experts, London, 28 September 2022.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "source-note", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "9b521d10-e571-4c1c-b82a-59858d26b6c8", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.05, "w": 0.744, "x": 0.128, "y": 0.735 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "In terms of governance, the governments of partner countries are exploring the delivery constructs that could enable the generation of a product in the timescales required. Importantly,", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "207ecbf1-5b74-44b3-9b4c-eb6182676f12", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.35, "w": 0.744, "x": 0.128, "y": 0.218 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "The Swedish government showed early interest in the Tempest programme, but without making full commitment. Saab announced the establishment of a radar-focused innovation hub with Imperial College in 2019, and a year later said that it would spend £50 million to set up an FCAS centre in the UK. In spite of this announcement, by 2022 Sweden had moved to a back-seat observation role. This may reflect concerns about what the country would be able to contribute, about cost, and about whether the emerging requirements will exceed what Sweden feels are its needs. Sweden's by-standing posture could still change, not least in light of the country's announced accession to NATO, and the possibility remains of Swedish commitment to collaboration on a major subsystem or systems. Sweden may have hopes of a formally Swedish product such as the Saab JAS 39 Gripen and, as such, its position is currently one of holding back and seeing how the programme as well as its own security requirements evolve. It will be considering how to respond to Russian aggression, NATO membership and an increase in defence spending, especially as it relates to the future of its very capable combat air sector. As Stockholm carries out this assessment, British industry keeps having constructive conversations with Saab, recognising the value of keeping the door ajar and being ready to welcome further cooperation.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "5dbd7c48-f814-42e8-ae5b-c41f9820b723", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.25, "w": 0.744, "x": 0.128, "y": 0.533 }, "kind": "paragraph", "text": "As more precise collaborative arrangements are being made, one challenge will be to avoid UK-Japan arrangements leaving Italy feeling sidelined, given the importance that Rome places on a prominent role in this endeavour. Currently, one element of the Tempest construct and partnership with Japan is that it reinforces the UK policy line of Global Britain and the UK as a player in Asia. The link with Italy is equally important, however, as it, inter alia, represents a major manifestation of UK defence industrial relationships with continental Europe in the difficult post-Brexit period. It should not be overlooked that 'British' defence industrial capability, as well as R&D and investment, is in some instances significantly in the hands of companies that are ultimately controlled from the other side of the Channel. Thus, there is broader security and defence value in a Tempest programme that embodies close links with continental Europe and Asia.", "attrs": null, "subkind": "paragraph", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "bfd2d34b-b6ea-468d-8968-35d2844accdb", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.12, "x": 0.128, "y": 0.18 }, "kind": "title", "text": "Sweden", "attrs": null, "subkind": "headline", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "6df6c344-259a-47a8-915c-bde5abe645e7", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null }, { "bbox": { "h": 0.02, "w": 0.35, "x": 0.128, "y": 0.495 }, "kind": "title", "text": "Assessment of Collaboration", "attrs": null, "subkind": "headline", "toolName": null, "toolSlug": null, "confidence": null, "componentId": "7b472643-9b82-4f2b-9115-3084da5342fe", "frameworkName": null, "frameworkSlug": null } ], "metrics": [], "tools": [], "frameworks": [], "arcBeats": [ { "to": 37, "from": 11, "beatId": "791e393f-43d5-4395-b949-6ed3f2d8a690", "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit", "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit", "beatName": "Evidence & Proof", "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-evidence-proof", "evidence": "Various data and figures supporting the assessment", "position": 2, "confidence": 0.8, "parentBeatName": "Evidence", "parentBeatSlug": "evidence" } ], "loops": [ { "to": 37, "from": 11, "name": "Logic Chain", "slug": "01-logic-chain", "bestFor": "Skeptical audiences, controversial recommendations, rigorous analysis", "matchId": "7bd37f4f-bc99-487d-a86a-0e76466d3320", "evidence": "The document presents a series of logical steps and data to support its assessment", "position": 0, "objective": "Understand the economic impact of the Tempest Programme", "structure": "Premise 1 (Accepted truth) -> Premise 2 (Observed fact) -> Therefore... (Inevitable conclusion)", "confidence": 0.6, "description": "Build an airtight chain of logic where each premise leads inevitably to the conclusion" } ], "imagePathAlt": null, "thumbSrc": null, "thumbSrcAlt": null, "locked": true }