{
  "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-f055fcdd7385",
  "docSlug": "82f98d6875dbcd86",
  "documentTitle": "Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030 Megatrend 4 Climate change &amp; ecosystem at risk",
  "authorId": "RolandBerger",
  "authorName": "Roland Berger",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.414,
  "pageNumber": 16,
  "pageCount": 32,
  "prevPage": 15,
  "nextPage": 17,
  "slideType": "key_messages",
  "function": "summarize",
  "density": "overcrowded",
  "nDataPoints": 12,
  "notes": "The slide uses bullet points to synthesize complex climate data and projections.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "bullet_list"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 0.95,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-f055fcdd7385/16",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-f055fcdd7385",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-f055fcdd7385.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-f055fcdd7385#slide-16",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "China, the USA and India account for 50% of global CO2 emissions and 50% of the saving potential by 2030.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-e58e-76cb-be55-e26184c861c0",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.2,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.41
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Thus in the IEA 2°C scenario the global share of fossil fuels will be reduced to 67% by 2030, coming from 81% today. The share of coal will be decreased by 8.1%-points to 21%, the share of oil by 5.5%-points (2°C scenario) between 2013 and 2030. Coal is the most carbon-intensive fossil-fuel. However, the ExxonMobil Outlook for Energy 2017 study, predicts that the share of coal will still be 23% in 2030. Looking at the latest commitment of several countries in Marrakesh to get out of coal and focus on renewable energy sources, an optimistic forecast seems quite realistic",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "60820fa1-0ec6-4876-9076-d13aa4e68b35",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.25
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "To reduce greenhouse gases and thus temperature increase the reduction of CO2 emissions from fuel combustion is a main lever. According to the IEA 2°C scenario CO2 emissions from fuel combustion will increase only 8% between 2013 and 2030 to 14.7 Gtoe compared to 31% in the business as usual scenario. The share of fossil fuels must be reduced to reach the goals of the 2°C scenario (long-term temperature rise of 2°C compared to preindustrial levels)",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a39e2704-2d11-4004-b358-a7b12ddbf4f9",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.12,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.81
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "If China does business as usual, its annual CO2 emissions would increase by 3.2 Gt in 2030 compared to 2013, which is about the size of the EU emissions in 2030 for the business as usual scenario or the amount of the USA in 2030 under the 2°C scenario. India's CO2 \"saving potential\" between the two scenarios in 2030 is about 2 Gt and that of the USA even 2.5 Gt, which is comparable with the total EU emissions in 2030 under the 2°C scenario",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "aecb46f7-9f63-4daf-b3bd-c418a64bdd4e",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.18,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.62
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Concerning the impact of certain countries to the climate change, China, India and the US play a major part. The three countries together account for more than half of global CO2 emissions today (China 29.5%, the USA 15.6% and India 5.9%) and in 2030. China's share stays relatively stable to 2030, while India's share will rise to nearly 12% while that of the USA is reduced to 12.2% or 10.6% for the 6°C or 2°C scenario respectively. India shows the strongest relative growth with +119% by 2030 if things remain unchanged or +36% within the 2°C scenario",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "eaa7453d-08a5-474e-ad92-e6f3807c41c1",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Global CO2 emissions share: 50%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-e58e-76cb-be55-e76b17923479",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.15,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.97
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: IEA, ExxonMobil",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "e06f18cc-be2b-437e-b9e3-bae7d4a53ea6",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.08,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.12
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "China, the USA and India account for 50% of global CO2 emissions and 50% of the saving potential by 2030 – E.g. reduction of coal",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "47aaf07d-415e-4e67-9ad7-72f0d4f646c7",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 16,
      "from": 9,
      "beatId": "4958fb4e-6bec-465d-b287-8f11ab3080a9",
      "arcName": "Problem-Agitate-Solution",
      "arcSlug": "problem-agitate-solution",
      "beatName": "Agitate (Make it worse)",
      "beatSlug": "problem-agitate-solution-agitate-make-it-worse",
      "evidence": "The document elaborates on the consequences of climate change, making the situation worse.",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Development",
      "parentBeatSlug": "development"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}