{
  "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-aaa97df31ab3",
  "docSlug": "39397d6b7bf63e80",
  "documentTitle": "Navigating uncertain skies Commercial Aerospace Insight Report",
  "authorId": "Accenture",
  "authorName": "Accenture",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.778,
  "pageNumber": 20,
  "pageCount": 30,
  "prevPage": 19,
  "nextPage": 21,
  "slideType": "industry_trends",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "overcrowded",
  "nDataPoints": 9,
  "notes": "The slide uses a series of timeline-based charts to visualize cost expectations (Decrease, Maintain, Increase) over 6, 12, and 24-month horizons.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "action_title",
    "paragraph",
    "bar_chart_horizontal",
    "photo"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-aaa97df31ab3/20",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-aaa97df31ab3",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-aaa97df31ab3.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a167-aaa97df31ab3#slide-20",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "The US administration's 25% tariff on steel and aluminum is driving up raw material costs, forcing aerospace manufacturers to rethink sourcing.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-a672-7739-9ce2-4d8dfc77f174",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.18,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.44
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Figure 15: Subsystem or parts cost outlook",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "dot",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "28add436-8f06-453b-9bbc-e2351fd9ac05",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.18,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.69
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Figure 16: Production labor cost outlook",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "dot",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "32f40eb3-4290-45ab-95fd-ed17989c6def",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.18,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.19
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Figure 14: Raw materials cost outlook",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "dot",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "3b4ce457-a43b-4b8a-b066-948a9083369c",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 1,
        "w": 0.32,
        "x": 0.68,
        "y": 0
      },
      "kind": "image",
      "text": null,
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "photo",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "06d9e54f-9c8c-4def-9ff3-14ac500fb016",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Executives expecting raw material price increases within two years: 73%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-a672-7739-9ce2-52f22905de61",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.09,
        "w": 0.33,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.27
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "The short-term outlook for raw material costs remains uncertain, with 51% of executives expecting price increases in the next six months—nearly unchanged from six months ago. However, concerns grow over the longer term, with 66% forecasting higher costs within a year and 73% within two years (Figure 14).",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0f490745-24f9-4b17-9cb6-d040a0ca3cca",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.05,
        "w": 0.33,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.55
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "The cost pressures are visible in industry indicators. Over the past six months, the Producer Price Index for aerospace manufacturing has inched up, signaling creeping cost pressures.54",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "6f772f42-9a33-4357-bf0a-f45f97bb2633",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.12,
        "w": 0.33,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.62
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Short-term stability offers little relief. While 56% of executives expect sub-system and parts costs to hold steady over the next six months, concerns mount over the longer term. Within a year, 63% anticipate price increases, rising to 78% by the two-year mark (Figure 15). Labor costs follow a similar trajectory: 51% foresee stability in the near term, but 61% predict increases within the next 12 months and beyond (Figure 16).",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "8b0ac184-3c47-4ffb-9232-31ff8ca5df4a",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.33,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.38
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "The US administration’s 25% tariff on steel and aluminum is driving up raw material costs, forcing aerospace manufacturers to rethink sourcing. Some are stockpiling materials, while others, like Optima Aero, are relocating inventory to navigate tariffs. However, many suppliers are struggling to secure alternative sources or negotiate better pricing. Combined with ongoing supply chain disruptions, these pressures are squeezing margins and straining production.53",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "8d4fa302-33a4-44c4-97bf-5112daa75ec4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.06,
        "w": 0.33,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.18
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Rising raw material prices, escalating subsystem costs and higher wages are driving up production expenses, making strategic cost management essential.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "action-title",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "3dca1b5b-9175-4086-a21c-c124cd2c8d8b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.32,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.13
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Production input cost outlook",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "eea17cfa-f2c5-4ecc-9ae4-b42098530f7f",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [
    {
      "metricRaw": "Executives expecting raw material price increases within two years",
      "numberRaw": "73%",
      "numberKind": "percent",
      "actionTitle": "Rising raw material prices, escalating subsystem costs and higher wages are driving up production expenses, making strategic cost management essential.",
      "calloutText": "The US administration's 25% tariff on steel and aluminum is driving up raw material costs, forcing aerospace manufacturers to rethink sourcing.",
      "numberScale": null,
      "numberValue": 73,
      "metricFamily": "other",
      "numberCurrency": null
    }
  ],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Action Titles",
      "slug": "action-titles",
      "agent": "Architect",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-0e0a-742d-9e84-a7bcff5be206",
      "evidence": "Action title 'Rising raw material prices, escalating subsystem costs and higher wages... cost management essential'",
      "confidence": 90
    },
    {
      "name": "Chart Selection Guide",
      "slug": "chart-selection-guide",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-0e0a-742d-9e84-aef1825fb611",
      "evidence": "Triangle-marker outlook bands appropriate for sentiment-style three-bucket forecast",
      "confidence": 75
    },
    {
      "name": "Small Multiples",
      "slug": "small-multiples",
      "agent": "Designer",
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-0e0a-742d-9e84-ab38d1fa4fba",
      "evidence": "Three stacked Raw materials / Subsystem / Production labor cost outlook charts share identical scaffold",
      "confidence": 95
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 22,
      "from": 16,
      "beatId": "019dd95a-0680-7418-820d-da1d5f06379a",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Evidence & Proof",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-evidence-proof",
      "evidence": "Airline profits, production index, cost outlook charts, risk concern matrix",
      "position": 4,
      "confidence": 78,
      "parentBeatName": "Evidence",
      "parentBeatSlug": "evidence"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 20,
      "from": 18,
      "name": "Iceberg",
      "slug": "10-iceberg",
      "bestFor": "Consulting, complex problem solving, organizational change",
      "matchId": "019dd95a-07fe-70ce-8d38-2604d63cf234",
      "evidence": "p.18 visible production outlook, p.19 supply chain tension, p.20 three cost outlook charts as root causes",
      "position": 5,
      "objective": "Surface production lag → underlying supply chain strain → root cost drivers (raw materials, subsystems, labor)",
      "structure": "The Symptom (Visible) -> The System (Hidden) -> The Root Cause",
      "confidence": 70,
      "description": "Reveal that the visible problem is merely a symptom of a deeper root cause"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}