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  "documentTitle": "Global trade redefined: Early insights and economic impacts of new agreements",
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  "notes": "The slide uses a three-column layout to present strategic pillars of US trade policy.",
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      "text": "The contours of a new global trading system are beginning to emerge through the fog, as it becomes clear that stronger US protectionism will persist as a strategic priority.",
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      "text": "Notes: (1) January 2025 Congressional Budget Office projections... (2) US weighted average tariff rate reflects the average tariff imposed on goods imports to the US... Sources: WITS, the Budget Lab at Yale, Reuters, Congressional Budget Office",
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      "text": "3. Policy will remain dynamic and unpredictable\nUS policy will continue to evolve at pace, and is likely to remain somewhat unpredictable:\n- Dynamic\n- Unpredictable\n- Escalating\n- Less credible",
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      "text": "1. US protectionism is here to stay\nEnhanced US protectionism is likely to remain for a number of reasons:\n- Political sensitivity\n- Tax revenue\n- Business backlash\n- New measures",
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      "text": "2. Shields will vary by sector\nPolicy specifics will evolve over time, but the US is likely to 'shield' particular sectors:\n- Tariffs will focus on industries where the US sees domestic opportunities\n- Priority industries are likely to evolve\n- The US is willing to carve out exemptions",
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