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  "documentTitle": "POPULISM IN 2024",
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  "notes": "The slide provides qualitative political context for various countries, contrasting establishment vs. anti-establishment dynamics.",
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      "text": "That said, a sweep here would strengthen the anti-system movement globally—a check on prevailing establishment politics.",
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      "text": "Finally, South Africa has one dominant establishment party—the ANC. But cracks are showing, and anti-establishment sentiment is high. The challenges more than likely will come from within the party. We are keeping a special eye on the unique way that anti-system sentiment might manifest itself in South Africa.",
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      "text": "Similarly, anti-system governments in Mexico, Indonesia, and India all are attempting to stay in power. To this end, high levels of anti-system sentiment in these countries reinforce such politics. Modi in India, Subianto in Indonesia, and Sheinbaum in Mexico all are favored to win. But elections are more than just attitudinal leanings. Other mechanisms, like the economy, matter. That said, a sweep here would strengthen the anti-system movement globally—a check on prevailing establishment politics.",
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      "text": "Anti-system sentiment has been relatively constant among Americans since 2016. Here, Trump captures the prevailing zeitgeist as the champion of a broken country. Biden, in contrast, is the quintessential establishment candidate. Which worldview will prevail? Establishment or anti-establishment? We will see.",
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      "text": "In contrast, the UK has a general election later this year. After a rallying-around period during the pandemic, there has been a steep increase in those who feel the country is in decline, with concerns spanning the economy, public services, and immigration. At the moment, Labour is taking advantage of this time-for-change sentiment but is not backed by a lot of public enthusiasm. An establishment party will win in the UK this year against the backdrop of strong anti-system sentiment.",
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      "text": "SPOTLIGHT ON: COUNTRY SPECIFICS",
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