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  "documentTitle": "NY COVID-19 Preliminary Economic Impact Assessment",
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      "text": "Total impact: 27.5% of pre-recession industry GDP",
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      "text": "These analyses represent only potential scenarios based on discrete data from one point in time. They are not intended as a prediction or forecast, and the situation is changing daily",
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      "text": "In recent recessions, rapid rebound for retail\nFor C-19, shift to online channels may be persistent, driving store closures",
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      "text": "Non-essential sales down ~30%, essential retail sales (i.e., groceries) returning to flat, online up >50%\n+3,405% spike in unemployment claims",
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      "text": "1. Incremental UI claims filed during 3/16-4/19/20 vs same period in 2019\nSource: Credit card sales data by Earnest Research. BCG analysis.",
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      "text": "Retail: Impacts and recovery vary among essential vs. non-essential retailers and depend on physical vs. online channel",
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