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  "documentTitle": "Fletcher Building – economic uncertainty analysis",
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      "text": "The base outlook for residential WPIP shows resilience compared with FY21. However, residential WPIP is most impacted under the downside scenario relative to the other WPIP segments.",
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      "text": "New Zealand residential work put in place, NZD$b, FY07 to FY25",
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      "text": "Base scenario: While residential WPIP is forecast to reduce between FY23 and FY25, primarily driven by slow disposable income growth, an increasing interest rate environment and growth in inflation, the outlook remains at above or near FY21 levels.",
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      "text": "Downside scenario - 'stagflation': The combination of weak demand and supply side drivers, increased costs of borrowing and falling house prices drives weaker residential WPIP through to FY24 in the downside scenario when compared to the base scenario, with recovery occurring only in FY25.",
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      "text": "Upside scenario - 'sigh of relief': The upside scenario sees a modest increase in residential WPIP in FY23, with WPIP remaining elevated when compared to both the base and downside scenarios. Under the upside scenario, stronger private investment and lower inflation drive a stronger outlook for residential WPIP.",
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      "text": "Step 4: Outlook for residential work put in place - New Zealand",
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