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  "documentTitle": "Fletcher Building – economic uncertainty analysis",
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      "text": "The base outlook for residential work done is resilient relative to FY21. While residential work done is the most sensitive to changes in economic conditions - it is less so in Australia compared to in New Zealand",
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      "text": "Australian residential work done, AUD$b, FY07 to FY25",
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      "text": "Base scenario: Under the base scenario, residential work done falls throughout FY23 to FY25, primarily driven by rising interest rates and declining house prices. Growth is forecast to return to positive territory in FY25 as the gap in growth between house prices and house building materials prices steadies.",
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      "text": "Upside scenario – 'sigh of relief': Under the upside scenario, employment growth continues at a very strong pace, fuelling a strong demand side and flowing through to property price growth that catches up with materials price growth. The strong demand side in the upside scenario drives growth in residential work done.",
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      "text": "Downside scenario – 'stagflation': The combination of a weak demand side and substantial cost pressures on the supply side drive larger falls in residential work done compared to our base scenario.",
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      "text": "Residential work done (AUD$b): 80.7",
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      "text": "The base outlook for residential work done is resilient relative to FY21. While residential work done is the most sensitive to changes in economic conditions – it is less so in Australia compared to in New Zealand",
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      "text": "Note: Data is in June years and in constant 19/20 prices",
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      "text": "Step 4: Outlook for residential work done - Australia",
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