{
  "docId": "019dd923-5de0-76bd-a164-500642aec329",
  "docSlug": "4c86d00513b4ab97",
  "documentTitle": "South Africa Economic Outlook 2024 Turning short-term crises into opportunities for business value creation and societal impact.",
  "authorId": "Strategy_and",
  "authorName": "Strategy&",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.592,
  "pageNumber": 6,
  "pageCount": 10,
  "prevPage": 5,
  "nextPage": 7,
  "slideType": "industry_trends",
  "function": "establish_context",
  "density": "overcrowded",
  "nDataPoints": 1,
  "notes": "Includes a line chart showing the Composite Supply Chain Pressure Index (CSCPI) from 2006 to 2023.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "paragraph",
    "line_chart"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a164-500642aec329/6",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a164-500642aec329",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a164-500642aec329.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5de0-76bd-a164-500642aec329#slide-6",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Localisation reduces exposure to offshore disruptions and supports domestic business.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-e592-7177-ac41-a96093d19f46",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.3,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.62
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Figure 2: Supply chain pressure index",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "664ca3a7-a129-455d-a969-c0efba8ee408",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Composite Supply Chain Pressure Index",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-e592-7177-ac41-ad846806c3d5",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.18
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "South Africa Economic Outlook January 2024",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "2d0b59b6-b290-485a-a1e3-65568a33d010",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.65,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.68,
        "y": 0.31
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Supply chain localisation means strategically prioritising sourcing, producing, and distributing goods and services locally...",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "506d172d-6264-4308-842a-1cb24dfcbd2b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.06,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.68,
        "y": 0.23
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Localisation reduces exposure to offshore disruptions and supports domestic business.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "84100ef1-62e9-4af6-a3a1-448667b6ecad",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.35,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.23
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Aside from the impact of international conflict on local companies, South Africa is also facing domestic challenges...",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "92c1092b-e296-4da4-af26-4473b73b2a9d",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.23
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Summary: Global geopolitical tensions are disrupting international supply chains. South African companies also face domestic challenges to rail and port services...",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "b96812e9-1dd6-4b88-9c56-fa9e0aa5dc61",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.06,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.42
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Foreign conflict and domestic inefficiencies disrupt supply chains, increasing the cost of commodities.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "c8a5574d-94e4-4484-80c8-82be614c7718",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.45,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.49
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Many regions around the world will continue to be unstable and fragile in 2024 as the threat of unrest impacts daily lives...",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "f3622cc1-4ccb-4966-b3cd-891e89647238",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.08,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.96
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: SARB",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "ce0a027a-ef84-4609-912a-8d1936f4558e",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.12,
        "w": 0.65,
        "x": 0.02,
        "y": 0.04
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Conflict: Localisation of sourcing could reduce dependence on supply chains hit by foreign conflict and domestic inefficiencies.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "7d49c216-e0e0-458d-bd02-2ce923716e7c",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 7,
      "from": 5,
      "beatId": "95cc916d-45f7-4c42-a87a-a3bb4f42c213",
      "arcName": "The Sparkline",
      "arcSlug": "sparkline",
      "beatName": "What Could Be",
      "beatSlug": "sparkline-what-could-be-2",
      "evidence": "The situation overview and industry trends suggest potential opportunities for business value creation and societal impact.",
      "position": 1,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Turn",
      "parentBeatSlug": "turn"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 9,
      "from": 4,
      "name": "Golden Circle",
      "slug": "11-golden-circle",
      "bestFor": "Visionary leadership, brand positioning, mission statements",
      "matchId": "8beef8f8-a42c-44a0-914e-89a88c655822",
      "evidence": "The CEO quote and industry trends provide a clear explanation of the benefits of adopting resilient strategies.",
      "position": 0,
      "objective": "Why companies should adopt resilient strategies",
      "structure": "The Why (Belief) -> The How (Process) -> The What (Result)",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Invert the typical pitch by starting with why you exist, rather than what you do"
    },
    {
      "to": 7,
      "from": 5,
      "name": "Cost Of Inaction",
      "slug": "27-cost-of-inaction",
      "bestFor": "Urgent budget requests, compliance, risk mitigation",
      "matchId": "b760cc24-c072-446d-b560-fdf780a33325",
      "evidence": "The situation overview and industry trends imply the potential costs of inaction.",
      "position": 1,
      "objective": "The cost of not adopting resilient strategies",
      "structure": "The Status Quo -> The Hidden Costs Accumulating -> The Future State of Inaction -> The Tipping Point",
      "confidence": 0.6,
      "description": "Quantify what happens if the audience does nothing"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}