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  "docSlug": "1ea0011115e97fc2",
  "documentTitle": "Trend 2050 Economics and Business",
  "authorId": "RolandBerger",
  "authorName": "Roland Berger",
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  "notes": "The slide uses a dual-line chart to illustrate the decoupling and subsequent convergence of trade and GDP growth, annotated with key historical events.",
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      "text": "The speed of globalization (measured as the difference between growth of GDP and trade) reached its maximum in the mid-2000s: between 2004 and 2007, global trade grew, on average, by 9.1% p.a.",
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      "text": "Growth of global trade volume and global GDP (real), yoy, 2000-2029",
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      "text": "The speed of globalization has declined. Since the GFC, trade growth has converged with GDP growth. Reasons include high globalization levels, China's import substitution, and rising trade barriers.",
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      "text": "GDP growth: 3.3%",
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      "text": "1) Trade volume of goods and services (exports and imports) Source: IMF; BBVA; ECB; Roland Berger",
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      "text": "In the early 2000s global trade grew significantly faster than GDP but following the global financial crisis their growth rates have converged",
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