{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-9a18b30a43c1",
  "docSlug": "ce62d3d978381f05",
  "documentTitle": "Trend 2030 Dynamic Technology Innovation",
  "authorId": "RolandBerger",
  "authorName": "Roland Berger",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.445,
  "pageNumber": 3,
  "pageCount": 49,
  "prevPage": 2,
  "nextPage": 4,
  "slideType": "appendix_methodology",
  "function": "present_framework",
  "density": "dense",
  "nDataPoints": 0,
  "notes": "The slide explicitly mentions the VUCA framework and the 'black swan' concept.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "bullet_list"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-9a18b30a43c1/3",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-9a18b30a43c1",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-9a18b30a43c1.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-9a18b30a43c1#slide-3",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "To incorporate today's volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous (VUCA) environment into strategic planning we recommend to combine the megatrends of the Roland Berger Trend Compendium with the Roland Berger scenario planning approach.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-e590-72ba-a10a-dce39b18ace7",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.06,
        "w": 0.1,
        "x": 0.88,
        "y": 0.03
      },
      "kind": "image",
      "text": "Roland Berger",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "logo",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "8d9cdd1c-ebee-4e98-b91e-f9064bc8f191",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.4
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "The forecasts are based on estimates reflecting the \"normal\" case, i.e. a stable development of the global economy with no unexpected events (\"black swans\"). Major political or financial crises, large-scale natural disasters or similar far-reaching events are not integral to our assumptions",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "0cc02780-4e7c-4340-9580-7ade5a535738",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.55
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "To incorporate today's volatile, uncertain, complex and ambiguous (VUCA) environment into strategic planning we recommend to combine the megatrends of the Roland Berger Trend Compendium with the Roland Berger scenario planning approach",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "5dbcb762-f450-4f81-9361-6eb8665b9c51",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.3
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "The Roland Berger Trend Compendium covers megatrends – long-term developments with major impact (usually global) on companies, economies and the natural world",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a6cb2e90-f7f1-42fd-9012-ba381f8c0503",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.1
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "The Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030 focuses on stable long term developments",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "f7e4f216-fbdb-4a9d-aa9f-a55c4728c5a4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.33,
        "x": 0.59,
        "y": 0.68
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Methodology",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "subtitle",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a86c0f3f-3aa7-44a2-b738-1d63f82da33b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [
    {
      "name": "Audience frame",
      "slug": "audience-frame",
      "agent": null,
      "layer": "slide",
      "matchId": "8b4e2bd2-d692-4dde-b3bf-a3383adbf2ad",
      "evidence": "This slide discusses the focus on stable long-term developments and the incorporation of VUCA environment into strategic planning.",
      "confidence": 0.7
    }
  ],
  "frameworks": [
    {
      "name": "VUCA",
      "slug": null,
      "matchId": "2cf13e0b-cb4f-4ec5-90c6-f0a38a99e74f",
      "evidence": "Explicitly mentioned in the third bullet point as a framework for strategic planning.",
      "confidence": 1
    }
  ],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 5,
      "from": 1,
      "beatId": "b6c30f67-f5ad-405b-a618-6f4c2bcd6bfa",
      "arcName": "Monroe's Motivated Sequence",
      "arcSlug": "monroes-sequence",
      "beatName": "Attention",
      "beatSlug": "monroes-sequence-attention",
      "evidence": "The document starts by grabbing attention with an overview of megatrends.",
      "position": 0,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Hook",
      "parentBeatSlug": "hook"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}