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  "documentTitle": "What if the US dollar loses its status as the world’s reserve currency?",
  "authorId": "RolandBerger",
  "authorName": "Roland Berger",
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  "notes": "The slide uses a line chart to show the crossover point in 2006/2007 and provides a snapshot of top trading partners for both nations.",
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    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Prior to 2000, the US frequently topped the world trade rankings. In the interim, that number plummeted as China quickly took the top spot in 128 countries.",
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      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "SHARE IN GLOBAL TRADE MEASURED IN EXPORTS OF GOODS",
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    {
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      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Share in global trade: 14.4%",
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      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "In the 1990s and before, international trade in goods was strongly influenced by today's industrialized countries. The US regularly competed with Germany for the largest share in global trade. Prior to 2000, the US frequently topped the world trade rankings. Back then, over 80% of countries traded more with the US than with China. In the interim, that number plummeted as China quickly took the top spot in 128 countries, thereby giving it strong leverage to encourage trade in currencies other than the USD. So far, China has made only moderate use of this lever, as the use of the USD has also facilitated trade for China. In the past year, however, China has stepped up its efforts to settle trade with other countries in CNY. It is reported that Saudi Arabia, for example, will accept CNY for China's oil purchases in the future. In addition, LNG deliveries from the UAE to China were recently settled in CNY for the first time.",
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      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Share of global trade is measured as each country's exports toward \"World\" as a percentage of the global export value. Source: IMF; UNCTAD",
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      "text": "Countries top trading partners, 2021",
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      "kind": "title",
      "text": "The relative decline of US exports in global trade has additionally fueled the dollar's diminishing role as the global reserve currency",
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      "evidence": "Slides 3-8 introduce various complications, such as the rise of non-traditional currencies, decline of US exports, and increasing US public debt.",
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