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  "documentTitle": "Trend Compendium 2050 Six megatrends that will shape the world",
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  "notes": "The slide uses V-DEM dataset to categorize countries into four regime types over 50 years.",
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      "text": "Electoral democracies are the most common regime type; electoral democracies as well as electoral autocracies have increased in numbers over the past five decades.",
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      "text": "Number of countries classified by regime type, 1972-2022",
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      "text": "Electoral democracies are the most common regime type; electoral democracies as well as electoral autocracies have increased in numbers over the past five decades. The most recent years' increase in the number of electoral democracies may appear to be a positive but is largely a consequence of liberal democracies undergoing (gradual) autocratization. For the first time since 1995, there are fewer liberal democracies than closed autocracies. The number of closed autocracies has gone up from a low of 22 in 2012 to 33 in 2022.",
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      "text": "Number of countries: 58",
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      "text": "The University of Gothenburg varieties of democracies (V-DEM) dataset covers 470+ indicators for 200+ countries. According to V-DEM, electoral democracies are systems where a number of institutional features guarantee free and fair elections such as freedom of association and freedom of expression; liberal democracies in addition include protection of individual liberties, and the checks and balances between institutions; autocracies (electoral or closed) display a sliding lack of such features",
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      "text": "1) Uncertainty remains about regimes that exhibit similar degrees of authoritarian and democratic traits and thus are close to the threshold between democracy and autocracy. In 2022, such uncertainty applied to 16 countries. Thus, the number of autocracies in the world might range from 84 to 100 countries, with 89 being the best estimate. Sources: University of Gothenburg/V-Dem Institute; Roland Berger",
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      "text": "A more divided world: Autocratization trends are intensifying – The future of liberal democracy is under threat",
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