{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-45dd3831d55b",
  "docSlug": "4beafe99a355f79b",
  "documentTitle": "Roland Berger Trend Compendium 2030 Megatrend 1 Demographic dynamics",
  "authorId": "RolandBerger",
  "authorName": "Roland Berger",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.414,
  "pageNumber": 29,
  "pageCount": 36,
  "prevPage": 28,
  "nextPage": 30,
  "slideType": "key_messages",
  "function": "summarize",
  "density": "overcrowded",
  "nDataPoints": 2,
  "notes": "Includes a specific callout for India's population growth as an example.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "bullet_list",
    "infographic"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 0.95,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-45dd3831d55b/29",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-45dd3831d55b",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-45dd3831d55b.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-45dd3831d55b#slide-29",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "The combination of a growing population and an increasing GDP is a strong indicator for the economic attractiveness of a country.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-e58d-7080-a153-36f544b7c903",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.35,
        "w": 0.25,
        "x": 0.7,
        "y": 0.55
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Population growth 2015-2030: +17%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "donut",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "2e7e410f-d95f-492c-90e9-16c6a363d5ad",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.25,
        "w": 0.65,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.64
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "Do not neglect or dismiss countries with slow or negative population growth because many of these countries will remain economic powerhouses to 2030. This group of countries hugely benefits from its sound knowledge base (education and training) and innovational power – key factors which are not affected in the medium-term, offering growth and profit perspectives for companies. Additionally, new business opportunities for specialty businesses may arise e.g. new buildings adapted to the needs of a smaller, aging population or restoring ecosystems",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "5b62de9f-e96a-4505-bf2e-61d548253fc9",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.65,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.54
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "The combination of a growing population and an increasing GDP is a strong indicator for the economic attractiveness of a country. Additionally, it is necessary to understand different sectors and industries within the country as well as future customer needs",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "a3abc041-85e9-4300-b630-c45b1ff96cd2",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.15,
        "w": 0.65,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.29
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "While important developed countries (e.g. Japan or Germany) show only slow, none or negative population growth by 2030, companies must look for new growth markets to acquire new customers and make their business portfolio even more international, prioritizing expansion in growth regions",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "bb6834b4-3029-4b00-8ab0-156bfcc69b87",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.25,
        "w": 0.65,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.39
      },
      "kind": "list",
      "text": "In a best-case scenario, population growth is accompanied by rising GDP per capita: India, China, Brazil, Mexico and Egypt are countries that will see their population rise by more than 20 million people within the next 15 years and achieve real GDP per capita of over USD 12,000 in terms of PPP; China is set to achieve more than USD 27,000 and Mexico nearly USD 20,000. Besides these developing countries, the United States will also grow strongly by 35 million people with a GDP per capita of nearly 60,000 in PPP in 2030",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "bullet",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "cad792e6-01f4-4c97-a91f-41425eb40aaa",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "Population growth: +17%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-e58d-7080-a153-3b5836d717bb",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.85,
        "x": 0.07,
        "y": 0.11
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Focus on high-growth regions, but do not neglect countries simply because of their low or negative population growth",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "5cd81bed-4790-4cf8-863e-89291f92ded3",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [],
  "frameworks": [],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 35,
      "from": 29,
      "beatId": "4d95dd01-185c-46e8-8b75-9e1957e4906c",
      "arcName": "Monroe's Motivated Sequence",
      "arcSlug": "monroes-sequence",
      "beatName": "Action",
      "beatSlug": "monroes-sequence-action",
      "evidence": "The document concludes with recommendations for action.",
      "position": 3,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Resolution",
      "parentBeatSlug": "resolution"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}