{
  "docId": "019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-42255c924b66",
  "docSlug": "45da395e46d6ccfc",
  "documentTitle": "Roland Berger Construction Radar – Impacts on DACH region",
  "authorId": "RolandBerger",
  "authorName": "Roland Berger",
  "documentKindSlug": "consulting-deck",
  "documentKindLabel": "Consulting deck",
  "sourceTypeSlug": "strategy_consulting",
  "sourceTypeLabel": "Strategy consulting",
  "presentationDate": null,
  "orientation": "landscape",
  "aspectRatio": 1.333,
  "pageNumber": 8,
  "pageCount": 13,
  "prevPage": 7,
  "nextPage": 9,
  "slideType": "scenario_analysis",
  "function": "analyze_data",
  "density": "overcrowded",
  "nDataPoints": 24,
  "notes": "The slide uses a combination of line charts (index) and bar charts (growth rates) to illustrate three distinct economic scenarios.",
  "elementsJson": [
    "headline_text",
    "line_chart",
    "bar_chart_grouped",
    "paragraph",
    "footnote"
  ],
  "metadataConfidence": 1,
  "imagePath": null,
  "slideHref": "/slides/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-42255c924b66/8",
  "deckHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-42255c924b66",
  "deckJsonHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-42255c924b66.json",
  "deckAnchorHref": "/decks/019dd923-5ddf-7308-8fca-42255c924b66#slide-8",
  "components": [
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "callout",
      "text": "Based on Roland Berger scenarios, the DACH construction industry in 2023 may exhibit a nominal development of -0.5% to +4.3%, while in real terms facing -4.8% to +1.4%.",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": "Visual emphasis",
      "toolSlug": "visual-emphasis",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-dfa7-70a9-9020-95f9786d1ff1",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.4,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.35,
        "y": 0.33
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Scenario II: Bump in the road",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "13223fbc-0046-47f2-b5fd-6bc69f370b7f",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.4,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.33
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Scenario I: Strong headwinds",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "3c201d02-8d74-457f-b7b8-f881e8ed9aa3",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.4,
        "w": 0.3,
        "x": 0.66,
        "y": 0.33
      },
      "kind": "chart",
      "text": "Scenario III: Quick recovery",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "line",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "90a6116f-16d5-4435-baf3-9b4c5376f563",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": null,
      "kind": "metric",
      "text": "CAGR: -4.8%",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "primary",
      "toolName": "Quantification",
      "toolSlug": "quantification",
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "019dd951-dfa7-70a9-9020-99e9b2fe7769",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.1,
        "w": 0.92,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.78
      },
      "kind": "paragraph",
      "text": "Despite stable demand for civil and residential multi-family projects, the DACH construction industry is struck by 3 adverse factors...",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "paragraph",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "c2152343-76be-42a8-8e03-1921e963985b",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.02,
        "w": 0.1,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.91
      },
      "kind": "source-note",
      "text": "Source: Roland Berger",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": null,
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "e714c2c6-6159-4653-81e9-5db49051a30e",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.7,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.13
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "Depending on the scenario and severity, full recovery can take 2–4 years",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "action-title",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "9618d6c3-914c-49a0-8763-e171da1953f4",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    },
    {
      "bbox": {
        "h": 0.03,
        "w": 0.8,
        "x": 0.04,
        "y": 0.1
      },
      "kind": "title",
      "text": "All Roland Berger scenarios entail a negative impact and challenges for 1 to 4 years",
      "attrs": null,
      "subkind": "headline",
      "toolName": null,
      "toolSlug": null,
      "confidence": null,
      "componentId": "313dc3f7-a28c-4d21-9e9b-47a70a2ab37a",
      "frameworkName": null,
      "frameworkSlug": null
    }
  ],
  "metrics": [],
  "tools": [],
  "frameworks": [
    {
      "name": "scenario_analysis",
      "slug": null,
      "matchId": "9f5c73aa-e98a-48e7-a6d3-0c8b8d17abf9",
      "evidence": "Three distinct scenarios (Strong headwinds, Bump in the road, Quick recovery) are presented to model future industry performance.",
      "confidence": 1
    }
  ],
  "arcBeats": [
    {
      "to": 10,
      "from": 6,
      "beatId": "6b934419-947f-4316-bb32-213bc0f20fb3",
      "arcName": "The Consultant's Gambit",
      "arcSlug": "consultants-gambit",
      "beatName": "Evidence & Proof",
      "beatSlug": "consultants-gambit-evidence-proof",
      "evidence": "Scenario analysis and data provide evidence of potential impacts.",
      "position": 2,
      "confidence": 0.8,
      "parentBeatName": "Evidence",
      "parentBeatSlug": "evidence"
    }
  ],
  "loops": [
    {
      "to": 11,
      "from": 2,
      "name": "Cost Of Inaction",
      "slug": "27-cost-of-inaction",
      "bestFor": "Urgent budget requests, compliance, risk mitigation",
      "matchId": "dee5ca0b-66f4-4346-bc39-038b285ecb17",
      "evidence": "The document highlights potential risks and impacts of not taking action.",
      "position": 0,
      "objective": "What are the potential costs of inaction in the construction industry?",
      "structure": "The Status Quo -> The Hidden Costs Accumulating -> The Future State of Inaction -> The Tipping Point",
      "confidence": 0.7,
      "description": "Quantify what happens if the audience does nothing"
    }
  ],
  "imagePathAlt": null,
  "thumbSrc": null,
  "thumbSrcAlt": null,
  "locked": true
}