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  "documentTitle": "Roland Berger Construction Radar – Impacts on DACH region",
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  "authorName": "Roland Berger",
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      "text": "Depending on the scenario and severity, full recovery can take 2–4 years",
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      "text": "Revenue growth: -4.8%",
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      "text": "With strong headwinds (scenario I), the industry in 2023 may face an overall revenue contraction of up to -4.8% in real terms compared to a nominal -0.5%. And even with an optimistic outlook (scenario III), the industry may face low +1.4% growth in real terms.",
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      "text": "Based on three Roland Berger scenarios, the DACH construction industry will either face strong headwinds, a bump in the road or, in an optimistic scenario, perhaps a quick recovery. In all instances, however, the market in 2023 will be negatively affected. Depending on the scenario, this impact could be intense and long-lasting, or minimal and short-lived.",
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      "text": "Through 2023, we expect energy prices and supply to have the largest and most immediate effect on construction output. Supply disruptions and material prices are considered to be short-term problems on the path to normalization. The soaring energy prices, high inflation, and long-term interest rate uncertainty will likely be at least a mid-term challenge. Depending on the scenario and severity, we do not expect normalization until 2024 at the earliest, and potentially as late as 2026. Either way, both supply and demand will be hit by a significant shock.",
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      "text": "To understand the impact of the described factors and changes on the DACH construction industry in the mid term, Roland Berger has modeled three scenarios (base, worst and best case). The model takes into account the impact on a) the various construction segments, e.g., new build, renovation, and b) on the various players along the construction value chain, i.e., from developers to various manufacturers to the construction companies.",
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