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  "documentTitle": "ovid-19 Special Primer (2020)",
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  "notes": "The slide compares four scenarios based on testing and tracing percentages across full and part-time reopening models.",
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      "text": "If British schools are reopened in September without sufficient levels of testing and contact tracing, a second wave is likely to occur in December 2020.",
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      "text": "Source: The Lancet Child and Adolescent Health (link). © Oliver Wyman 53",
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      "text": "A study in The Lancet focused on the optimal strategy for school reopening. Mathematical modelling was used to estimate the impact of different school reopening scenarios in the UK. Results showed that increased levels of testing combined with effective contact tracing and isolation was crucial to prevent a second wave. If British schools are reopened in September without sufficient levels of testing and contact tracing, a second wave is likely to occur in December 2020. This second wave would be 2 to 2.3 times the size of the first COVID-19 wave in the UK. In the absence of sufficient testing and contact tracing, a second wave would still occur even if school children were assumed to be only half as infectious as adults.",
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      "text": "SAFE SCHOOL REOPENING REQUIRES A WELL-COORDINATED STRATEGY FOR LARGE-SCALE TESTING, EFFECTIVE CONTACT-TRACING, AND ENFORCED ISOLATION",
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